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15:25 · Fontwell

KSR Lighting, The Ultimate Lighting Solutions Handicap Hurdle

2m 1f 162yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 99
9/2
Birthday Angel silks

The Birthday Angel Partnership

Birthday Angel

6yo Gelding · 11-10

Dark Angel - Capulet Monteque (Camacho)

Rex Dingle2/3Mrs L Richards60%
U5P115
6.0Going 8.0

Smooth-travelling type who rattled off a quickfire double at Plumpton/Wincanton in November. Creditable 13¾-length fifth in a better race at Wincanton latest hurdle start and returned in good form on the Flat recently. Reverts to hurdling and makes appeal back down in class.

Class Advantage

16/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/10 · mark par16/1017/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/11 · mark par20/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/11 · mark par16/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/12 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 92%16/10Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%20/11Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%6/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%9/09
Projected finish1st of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-380/100
8
2
OR 92
9/2
Diamond Egg silks

Rakjam Ltd

Diamond Egg

8yo Gelding · 11-3

Diamond Boy - Chamoss World (Lost World)

Bradley Harris60%N P Mulholland60%
3160P2
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓4
HoodTongue strap

Fair bumper/maiden hurdle winner in 2022/3. Proved he retains ability when smooth-travelling second in a Fakenham selling handicap on final start for Henrietta Knight last February. Interesting returning for shrewd yard in new headgear combo, especially if backed.

Class Advantage

19/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/023/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/10 · mark par20/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/12 · mark par14/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par14/02projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 0%19/02Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%5/04Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 6%20/12Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 89%14/02
Projected finish2nd of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
86%1-567/100
9
4
OR 88
9/2
A Tickatickatiming silks

The Bull Boys

A Tickatickatiming

8yo Mare · 10-13

Sixties Icon - Hi Note (Acclamation)

M Goldstein60%1/15Miss S West
43P454
5.0

Free-going sort who won a bumper/maiden hurdle at Plumpton in 2023. Still waiting on a first handicap success, again not seeing it out over a slightly longer trip when 9¼ lengths fourth at Stratford (19f) in July. Has a chance if things fall right off a career-low mark.

Class Advantage

9/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/02 · mark par9/0223/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/02 · mark par16/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%9/02Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%16/03Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 69%29/06Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%12/07
Projected finish3rd of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
71%1-474/100
5
Value3
OR 96
20/1
Begin The Luck silks

Miss Daisy Hitchins

Begin The Luck

10yo Gelding · 11-7

Le Fou - Bobsyourdad (Bob's Return)

Ben Godfrey0/1Daisy Hitchins60%
151238
5.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Won 3 small-field chases last season. Found less than looked likely in a similar event at Plumpton in late May. Hard to be confident he can capitalise on lower hurdle mark following an underwhelming return to this sphere at Newton Abbot 15 days ago.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par6/034/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par19/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/04 · mark par6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par26/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%6/03Pos 5 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%19/04Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%26/05Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 30%18/09
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
57%4-960/100
7
Market Fav7
OR 95
10/3
Black Dakota silks

Simonell Racing Club

Black Dakota

7yo Gelding · 11-6

Westerner - Theklana (Definite Article)

Robbie David60%0/2−5lbDaisy Hitchins80%
225464
4.0
1st Hood +1

Winning pointer who was ridden with an eye to the future when a well-held fourth of 7 on qualifying run at Newton Abbot (2¾m). Should do better now handicapping, though the drop in trip isn't guaranteed to suit given his pedigree/pointing background.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/0530/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0516/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0618/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength23%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%7/05Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%30/05Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 44%16/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%18/09
Projected finish5th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
43%1-654/100
3
5
OR 97
10/1
Devon Red silks

Mr Mike Howe

Devon Red

7yo Gelding · 11-8

Forever Now - Bajan Rebel (Bahamian Bounty)

J M Quinlan0/4Nick Scholfield60%
942429
5.0
Blinkers

Lightly-raced maiden from capable stable. Creditable form with 3 in-frame finishes at Newton Abbot. Looked outclassed in terms of looks/ability when down the field in a valuable novice final at Worcester. Blinkers retained on return to calmer waters but drop back in trip isn't certain to suit.

Class Advantage

22/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/0722/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par18/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par25/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 63%22/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%22/08Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%7/09Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 83%18/09Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%25/09
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
29%1-928/100
6
6
OR 95
4/1
Crown Of India silks

The Agra Jewels

Crown Of India

5yo Gelding · 11-6

Camelot - Queen Of India (Fastnet Rock)

Bryan Carver1/4A M Hales
691226
5.0

Only denied a third Worcester success by a handicap debutant in June. Bumped into one with a solid course record at Market Rasen subsequently. Latest 8¾ lengths sixth at Worcester has proved strong form for the grade and he could well resume winning ways with fitness on his side.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/112/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par28/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par17/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par5/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%20/11Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%28/05Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%5/07Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 58%23/08
Projected finish7th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
14%1-474/100
1
8
OR 103
20/1
King Of The Bronx silks

Mr Paul Bona

King Of The Bronx

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Dragon Pulse - Rosie Hackett (Jeremy)

Ellis Collier60%0/1−5lbS Hosie
007516
3.0

Has shown nothing for a couple of a new handlers since winning a Cork handicap hurdle on final start for Gavin Cromwell last spring.

Class Advantage

9/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par9/036/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par21/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par18/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%9/03Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%21/04Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%19/08Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%18/09
Projected finish8th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%8-985/100