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12:50 · Ascot

Grundon Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 3f 63yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav
OR 118
5/2
Fidendum silks

Three Saints One Sinner

Fidendum

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Passing Glance - Think Of The Money (Alderbrook)

Nick Slatter10%2/5D Killahena & G McPherson70%Synergy 39
2R1312
8.0Class ↓2
Going 0Course 0
HoodTongue strap

Quirky sort enhanced his strong Market Rasen record when notching a second win in 3 starts there in July. Again able to dictate when 3¼-length second at Perth the following month and isn't sure to stay this longer trip on return from 11 weeks away.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/094/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par28/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par5/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par15/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 60%24/09Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 1 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 86%15/08
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-570/100
7
OR 108
5/1
Media Mogul silks

Keith & Mary Trowbridge

Media Mogul

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Advertise - Chicago Girl (Azamour)

David Bass40%1/5Tom Dascombe60%Synergy 40
44132
7.0Class ↓2
Going 0Course 0

Fairly useful Flat performer. Off the mark over hurdles in 2m Worcester maiden. Shaped as if on a good mark despite doing plenty wrong in both handicap starts there since (quirky/not a fluent jumper). Form of latest second working out well, though, and can go one better if putting it all together.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/082/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par25/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 3f 63y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%15/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 70%25/11Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 67%22/07Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 93%25/09
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
88%1-476/100
1
Top Pick
OR 120
4/1
Handmedownastar silks

Mr Simon Smode

Handmedownastar

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Diamond Boy - Breaffy House Lady (Shantou)

Nathan Andrews10%−10lbNick Scholfield80%Synergy 33
32151P
8.0Class ↓3
Going 0Course 0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Good-looking point winner. Needed his stable debut at Cartmel before capitalising on a good opportunity in match race at Kelso (21f). Beaten by more than the rise in class when pulled-up in Grade 2 Persian War since. Cheekpieces on for second handicap start and his revised mark looks harsh.

Class Advantage

14/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/034/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par16/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 3f 63y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%14/03Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%4/04Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%24/05Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 43%31/08Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%16/09
Projected finish3rd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-1027/100
8
OR 105
7/1
Mr Rafiki silks

Rafiki Partnership

Mr Rafiki

5yo Gelding · 10-13

Order Of St George - Baraza (Kalanisi)

R P McLernon10%J & A O'Neill70%Synergy 79
442FF2
6.0
Going 0Course 0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Lightly-raced 5-y-o. Runner-up in successive maiden hurdle starts, showing no ill-effects from recent tumbles over fences at Stratford (2¾m) latest. Opening mark demands a fair bit more again, but he looks the type who'll benefit from first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

8/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/1012/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par17/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par17/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 3f 63y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%8/10Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%20/05Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%16/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%17/10
Projected finish4th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
63%1-755/100
4
OR 116
12/1
Beau Quali silks

Mrs Susan Carsberg

Beau Quali

6yo Gelding · 11-10

Beaumec De Houelle - Qualita (Konigstiger)

Toby McCain-Mitchell10%1/5Christian WilliamsSynergy 46
822150
4.0Class ↓2
Going 0Course 0

Capped a positive start for present yard with a belated first hurdle success at Chepstow in April. Didn't get much of a chance to enhance his fine record at that track on return (made a fairly serious error at halfway). That run should have blown away any cobwebs, and he's weighted to go well.

Class Advantage

2/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par2/0218/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/03 · mark par2/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par24/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par16/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par9/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par9/10projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 3f 63y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%2/02Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 91%2/04Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 43%16/05Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 7%9/10
Projected finish5th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-1029/100
6
OR 108
12/1
Secret Sniper silks

Mrs M D W Morrison

Secret Sniper

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Stimulation - Trigger Point (Double Trigger)

J J Burke20%0/2H MorrisonSynergy 63
257229
5.0Class ↓2
Going 0Course 20

Brother to connections' useful 2m hurdler Secret Squirrel. Improved when runner-up in novices at Huntingdon/Taunton before failing to fire in a strong novice final at Sandown in April. Bred for this longer trip on his dam's side and can be given another chance following 6 months off.

Class Advantage

21/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/1221/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/04projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 20

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 91%21/12Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 65%25/02Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%9/04Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%25/04
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
38%1-848/100
5
OR 110
8/1
Lord Chamberlain silks

Hatch A Plan Syndicate

Lord Chamberlain

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Masar - Privacy Order (Azamour)

Thomas Bellamy20%Ryan HatchSynergy 67
361353
6.0
Going 0Course 0
Tongue strap

Much improved to get off the mark on handicap debut at Hereford (2m) in April. Travelled with plenty of verve in defeat thereafter, latterly when third on chasing debut (following a breathing operation) in July. Should at least hold his own in a deeper handicap hurdle than previously contested.

Class Advantage

26/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0211/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par14/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par28/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par1/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 3f 63y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%26/02Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%6/04Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%28/05Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 78%1/07
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%1-1029/100
9
OR 95
10/1
Jammy Jay silks

Martin And Jacqueline Jones

Jammy Jay

6yo Mare · 10-3

Poet's Word - Dreams Allowed (Authorized)

Benjamin Macey10%H J EvansSynergy 28
482426
4.0
Going 0Course 0

Maiden who finished runner-up in lesser handicaps at Uttoxeter/Bangor this summer. Hardly shaped like one stepping back up in trip when well-held sixth at Chepstow (19f, soft) last time. Strong chance she'll get outpaced at some point against better opposition here.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1215/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par10/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par10/10projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 3f 63y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%26/12Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%7/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 67%4/09Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%10/10
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
13%8-1081/100
10
OR 95
16/1
Top Coeur silks

Sue Howell

Top Coeur

5yo Gelding · 10-3

Choeur Du Nord - Lady Coraline (Martaline)

Jack Tudor10%0/6Christian Williams60%Synergy 41
586596
3.0
Going 0Course 0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Fair form to hit the frame in a couple of maiden hurdles for Gavin Cromwell last winter. Brought along quietly by present yard and now on an interesting mark with first-time tongue strap applied. Needs a market check (yard also run Beau Quali), for all he may lack the speed for a race like this.

Class Advantage

1/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par1/042/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par4/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par18/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par9/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par17/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par17/10projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 3f 63y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%1/04Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%4/06Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 43%9/10Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%17/10
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%4-1057/100