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15:23 · Newmarket

Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery

1m 1fGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Value
OR 67
8/1
Arlecchino's Moon silks

Mr K Senior

Arlecchino's Moon

2yo Colt · 9-1 · Draw 3

Cracksman - I'm Impressed (Toronado)

C Lee40%1/1M D I UsherSynergy 50
8951
5.0
Going 0Course 0

Advanced his form on nursery debut to get off the mark in 12-runner event at Southwell (1m) 23 days ago. Up 4 lb but not out of things on his turf debut.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0618/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/084/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/098/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par8/10projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 1f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%29/06Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 27%18/08Pos 5 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 64%4/09Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%8/10
Projected finish1st of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-182/100
3
Market Fav
OR 73
3/1
Under Arrest silks

Lael Stable

Under Arrest

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 10

Too Darn Hot - I'm So Fancy (Rajj)

Harry Davies10%W J HaggasSynergy 43
55323
6.0
Going 0Course 0

Too Darn Hot colt who took another step forward when third of 11 in nursery at Pontefract (1m, heavy) 12 days ago. Big shout off the same mark with this longer trip also a plus.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/064/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par19/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/10 · mark par19/10projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 1f · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%20/06Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 20%4/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%3/09Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%11/10Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%19/10
Projected finish2nd of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
89%1-565/100
4
Top Pick
OR 71
9/2
High Calibre silks

Middleham Park Racing Cxxii & Partner

High Calibre

2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 8

Lucky Vega - Good Liza (Kingman)

S M Levey40%0/1R Hannon60%Synergy 29
566253
6.0
Going 0Course 75

Still a maiden but he posted a good third of 13 in nursery at Bath (1m, good) 12 days ago. Can make his presence felt again.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/0529/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par19/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/10 · mark par19/10projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 75Dist: 1m 1f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 0%29/05Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 55%14/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%16/09Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%19/10
Projected finish3rd of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
78%1-1027/100
7
OR 69
10/1
Highland Frost silks

The Rumble Racing Club

Highland Frost

2yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 6

Gleneagles - White Chocolate (Mastercraftsman)

Rob Hornby10%0/2J G PortmanSynergy 18
773
5.0
Going 0Course 0

Took a step forward with a staying-on third of 10 in novice at Bath (1m, good) 12 days ago. Makes handicap debut with more to come. Not ruled out.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0930/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0919/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/10projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength78%
Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%16/09Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 40%30/09Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 78%19/10
Projected finish4th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-177/100
2
OR 74
7/1
Biscaysian silks

Mr David Fish And Ballylinch Stud

Biscaysian

2yo Colt · 9-8 · Draw 7

Bayside Boy - Chrysocolla (Sea The Stars)

Callum Shepherd40%M L W Bell60%Synergy 21
546
4.0Class ↓3
Going 0Course 0

Failed to build on earlier promise under a change of tactics with sixth of 12 in maiden at Bath (1m, good to firm) in September. More needed now going into nurseries.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0824/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0812/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength97%
Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%2/08Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%24/08Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 55%12/09
Projected finish5th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
56%1-1024/100
6
OR 71
7/1
Dancing Dunes silks

Mr M J Rembaum

Dancing Dunes

2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 1

Torquator Tasso - Delegation (Mount Nelson)

H Crouch10%R M Beckett70%Synergy 50
554
5.0
Going 0Course 0

Torquator Tasso colt who has shaped with encouragement on all his 3 runs, fourth of 6 in maiden at Haydock (1m, soft) 35 days ago. Can do better for good yard on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

29/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/073/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0926/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength86%
Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%29/07Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%3/09Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%26/09
Projected finish6th of 10
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
44%1-655/100
1
OR 75
14/1
Princess Lottie silks

The Ten Fools & A Horse Partnership

Princess Lottie

2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 5

Camelot - Corinthian Girl (Raven's Pass)

Toby Moore10%−7lbP J McBrideSynergy 40
5424
5.0
Going 0Course 50

Camelot filly. Beaten a short head in 1m Haydock novice in September and not disgraced when fourth of 7 in maiden at Nottingham (1m, good) 30 days ago, nearest finish. Much respected over this longer trip on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0617/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/074/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/091/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par1/10projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength89%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 50Dist: 1m 1f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 50%19/06Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%17/07Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%4/09Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%1/10
Projected finish7th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%6-1063/100
10
OR 55
14/1
Wells Fargos Envoy silks

Mr S A Heley & Partner

Wells Fargos Envoy

2yo Filly · 8-3 · Draw 2

Wells Farhh Go - Appointed (Delegator)

D Fentiman10%0/3T D EasterbySynergy 29
864
4.0
Going 0Course 0

Took a big step forward when fourth of 10 in novice at Redcar (1m, good to soft) 15 days ago. Further progress is on the cards over this longer trip on her handicap debut. Interesting.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0616/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0916/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/10projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength53%
Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%8/06Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 29%16/09Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 67%16/10
Projected finish8th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
22%1-177/100
5
OR 71
12/1
Cracking Idea silks

The Edr Partnership

Cracking Idea

2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 9

Cracksman - Poet's Queen (Poet's Voice)

David Probert40%E A L DunlopSynergy 43
538
3.0Class ↓3
Going 0Course 0

Improved from his debut when third in 7f Yarmouth novice in August. Run best ignored (badly hampered) when eighth of 9 there (9f, good) since. Remains capable of better over this trip on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/072/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0817/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength79%
Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 1f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%13/07Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%2/08Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 13%17/09
Projected finish9th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
11%4-1049/100
9
OR 57
8/1
Magical Life silks

Mr Jeremy Holt & Partners

Magical Life

2yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 4

Territories - One Life (War Front)

Isobelle Chalmers10%0/2−7lbJ S MooreSynergy 14
436672
5.0
Going 0Course 0

Gained a first success in Kempton nursery in August. Back on track with second of 13 in nursery at Bath (1m, good) 12 days ago. No forlorn hope.

Class Advantage

17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/0827/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par13/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par28/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par14/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par19/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/10 · mark par19/10projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%17/08Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%13/09Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 58%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%14/10Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 92%19/10
Projected finish10th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-940/100