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16:34 · Southwell

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2)

1m 14yGoing TBCClass 63YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
2
OR 5120/1
Here Comes Louie silks

Nextgen Racing Club

Here Comes Louie

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Land Force - L'ile Aux Loups (Rock Of Gibraltar)

K Stott70%0/1Roger Fell
90862
5.0

Ran best race to date when second of 13 in minor event at Thirsk (1m, good to firm) 21 days ago. In the mix with a repeat.

Class Advantage

17/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/1024/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%17/10Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 31%24/10Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 13%5/04Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 44%15/06Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 92%16/07
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
5
OR 493/1
Gloriola silks

Danny Fantom Racing Ltd

Gloriola

3yo Filly · 9-3

Aclaim - Gemina (Holy Roman Emperor)

C Lee70%Steph Hollinshead
800523
5.0

Went a long way to confirming the improvement shown on previous start when third of 9 in minor event at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 30 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/097/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/10 · mark par8/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par26/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%9/09Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 9%8/04Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 89%16/06Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%7/07
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 513/1
Alice's Influence silks

Richard Kent & Richard & Pam Dawson

Alice's Influence

3yo Filly · 9-5

Massaat - Ceedwell (Exceed And Excel)

J F Egan60%P D Evans80%
123434
5.0Going 10.0
1st Blinkers +3

Gained a first win at Wetherby in April and largely in good nick since, saddle slipped when fourth of 7 at Chepstow (1m) on most recent start. Not out of things in a headgear change.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/044/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%26/04Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%29/05Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%29/06Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%3/07
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 5410/1
Starakova silks

Howard Sutton Molony Weller Cowles

Starakova

3yo Filly · 9-8

Starman - Abbakova (Dandy Man)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbW Greatrex
850173
5.0

Winner at Wolverhampton in April and wasted no time getting back on track when third of 13 in a similar event back there (8.6f) 31 days ago. Should remain competitive.

Class Advantage

23/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/0912/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par13/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par27/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 42%23/09Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%13/04Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 45%8/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%6/07
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 5340/1
Elashgar silks

Mr S Hine & Mr K Frost

Elashgar

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Supremacy - Love In The Desert (Lemon Drop Kid)

William Pyle60%0/1K Frost60%
312063
5.0

Winner at Wolverhampton in February and bounced back to form when third of 9 in handicap (40/1) at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 21 days ago, sticking to task. Has to be taken seriously with that form working out well.

Class Advantage

2/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0227/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par7/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par26/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%2/02Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 83%7/03Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 17%22/06Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%16/07
Projected finish5th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 5114/1
Ernie Mccrew silks

Mr H Maye & J S Moore

Ernie Mccrew

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Galileo Gold - Forgiving Flower (New Approach)

Ashley Lewis70%J S Moore
646745
3.0

Not disgraced when fifth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 16 days ago. Needs a bit more for win purposes.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0419/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 50%27/04Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 55%6/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%6/07Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%21/07
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
8
OR 4550/1
Thomas Tallis silks

Eventmasters Racing

Thomas Tallis

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Havana Gold - Polyphony (Power)

Callum Hutchinson60%J Mackie
8707
2.0Class ↓3

Showed a bit more than previously when seventh of 12 in minor event at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 50/1) 65 days ago. Into handicaps now and more required.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0716/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/089/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/092/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par2/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%28/07Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%16/08Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%9/09Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 45%2/06
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
7
OR 4633/1
Speckled Brown silks

Faith Hope And Charity

Speckled Brown

3yo Filly · 9-0

Awtaad - Brown Butterfly (Medicean)

Barry McHugh70%0/1Andi Brown
0547
3.0Class ↓4

Has offered little all 4 starts, including on handicap debut at Redcar last time.

Class Advantage

13/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/1022/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/066/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0719/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 17%13/10Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%22/06Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%6/07Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%19/07
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
9
OR 5566/1
Gilleangirl silks

Nickbradleyracing45 & Alfa Site Servic

Gilleangirl

3yo Filly · 9-9

Maclean's Music - Frond (Yes It's True)

S De Sousa60%I Furtado70%
587
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Seems to have been brought along with handicaps in mind but opening mark looks on the stiff side. Tongue strap on for 1st time.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/1028/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/027/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength63%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%9/10Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%28/02Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 14%7/04
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend