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18:51 · Southwell

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 2)

6f 17yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 6810/3
Spirit Of Jenny silks

Mr P Stacey

Spirit Of Jenny

4yo Filly · 9-7

Inns Of Court - Next Generation (Royal Applause)

D C Costello60%0/7Steph Hollinshead
378212
7.0Going 10.0

Has had a good year from 3 starts this season, winning over C&D in April. 10/3, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Leicester (6f, firm) when last seen in May. Remains relatively unexposed and can go well again.

Class Advantage

8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/085/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par29/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par25/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%8/08Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 42%29/09Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%30/04Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%25/05
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 678/1
Baba Reza silks

Judy & Richard Peck

Baba Reza

8yo Gelding · 9-6

Garswood - Friendship Is Love (Byron)

C Lee70%Miss J A Camacho
930623
6.0Class ↓3

Enhanced good record fresh when runner-up on return (following another breathing operation) at Carlisle in June and backed that up when third at Wolverhampton the following month. Remains well treated.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/073/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par23/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/10 · mark par4/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/12 · mark par8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 27%7/07Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 9%23/10Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%8/06Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 80%6/07
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
2
OR 6617/2
Jesse Luc silks

Mr Philip Banfield

Jesse Luc

6yo Gelding · 9-5

Brazen Beau - Be Amazing (Refuse To Bend)

L Morris70%0/5M Murphy70%
453536
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

A 6-time winner on the all-weather over this trip last year, though is now twelve runs since last success. Better than bare result when sixth of 11 in handicap (17/2) at Wolverhampton (6f) 31 days ago, left poorly placed. One to note in the betting now 4 lb below last winning mark.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/01 · mark par29/0111/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/02 · mark par25/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/02 · mark par10/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par11/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%29/01Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%25/02Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%11/04Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%6/07
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 676/1
Fierce silks

Calcaria Racing & Partner

Fierce

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Dandy Man - Saffian (Dubawi)

Jason Hart60%0/3P T Midgley
573236
5.0Class ↓2

Made the frame on first 3 outings this season. Wasn't seen to best effect when sixth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) in June, hampered start. Steps back up in trip.

Class Advantage

18/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/11 · mark par18/1126/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/11 · mark par7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%18/11Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 71%7/04Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%16/06Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 55%26/06
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 6922/1
Dorney Lake silks

Mrs C M Clarke, Foulrice Park Racing L

Dorney Lake

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Ardad - Dora's Sister (Dark Angel)

D Tudhope60%L Bailey
857120
5.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Belatedly capitalised on his much-reduced mark at Doncaster (5.6f) last month and backed that up when second under a penalty at Pontefract next time. Can have his most recent run at York overlooked having had the worst of draw. Remains well treated and no surprise if bouncing back.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/058/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%25/05Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%19/06Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%17/07Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%24/07
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
4
OR 647/1
Sarafina Mshairi silks

Rectory Farm Racing Partnership

Sarafina Mshairi

4yo Filly · 9-3

Cable Bay - Sarabi Mshairi (Poet's Voice)

Ashley Lewis70%0/4E Smyth-Osbourne
235198
4.0

A winner twice last year, including over C&D in October. Has made little impact from 2 starts this season. Steps back up in trip but needs a return to form.

Class Advantage

26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/0715/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par7/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/10 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par18/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 86%26/07Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%12/09Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 11%18/05Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%18/06
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
6
OR 6312/1
Fan Mail silks

L Bond/sheikh Aymen Jawad Al Hamandi/p

Fan Mail

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Mayson - Fanfair (Royal Applause)

D Allan60%1/5T D Easterby60%
255340
4.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

C&D winner last autumn. Has turned in some good efforts in defeat this season though has looked a little awkward on occasions. Ran poorly over 7f here 2 weeks ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par18/055/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 91%18/05Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%18/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%9/07Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 8%23/07
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
8
OR 637/2
Camera Shy silks

The Horse Watchers 13 And Michael Dods

Camera Shy

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Kodiac - Darwell (Zamindar)

Daniel Muscutt70%1/6M Dods
541764
5.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Ended a losing run over 7f at this course in March. Made the frame when last seen at Ayr (7f, good to firm) at the beginning of May. Steps back down in trip and returns to the all-weather.

Class Advantage

30/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par30/0128/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par14/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/03 · mark par27/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par7/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par5/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par5/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%30/01Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%14/03Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 44%7/04Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%5/05
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
9
OR 7050/1
Beattie Is Back silks

Richard Fahey Ebor Racing Club Ltd

Beattie Is Back

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Mayson - Miss Fifty (Whipper)

Ethan Tindall60%0/3−5lbR A Fahey80%
420650
3.0Class ↓3

Just failed at Wolverhampton (7f) in February and not seen to best effect on next 2 outings. Shaped better than distance beaten suggests at York last time, faring best of those racing in stand-side group. Is kept to 6f but can't be taken lightly from 2 lb below last winning mark.

Class Advantage

31/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/01 · mark par31/0127/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par17/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%31/01Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 26%23/05Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%17/06Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 30%24/07
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend