13:10 · Ascot

Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

1m 7f 209yGoing TBCClass 24YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 9013/2
Shrimp Shady silks

Mr M W Pendarves

4yo Colt · 9-6

Mastercraftsman - Preveza (Dalakhani)

R L Moore60%A M Balding70%
412161
7.0Going 8.0

Low-mileage 4-y-o who returned to turf to land the Chester Plate in May and found a bit more improvement when shading a tight finish at Newbury (16.5f, firm, 13/2) 21 days ago. Nudged up 3 lb but no surprise were he to pull out more. Player under Moore.

Class Advantage

6/02 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/02 · mark par6/023/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/03 · mark par3/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par18/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 209y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 57%6/02Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 92%3/04Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 74%27/06Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish1st of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
2
OR 879/1
Mountain Road silks

Mr S Fyffe

7yo Gelding · 9-3

Churchill - La Corniche (Naaqoos)

Yutaka TakeJ S Goldie
184351
6.0

Back to winning ways in 13-runner handicap at Thirsk (good) 69 days ago, proving well suited by the return to 2m. Wouldn't be a surprise to see him pull out more now he's found his feet for Jim Goldie.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/0721/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par26/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par3/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par17/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par31/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 209y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 57%26/04Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 64%17/05Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%31/05
Projected finish2nd of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Market Fav3
OR 877/2
Marnier silks

Mrs B Chantler

4yo Gelding · 9-3

Saxon Warrior - Manzanilla (Muhaarar)

Suraj Narredu60%G & J Moore60%
172631
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Ended his time with the Gosden stable with a career-best performance to win 8-runner handicap at Sandown (1¾m, good) 36 days ago. New connections acquired him for 77,000 gns last month.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/11 · mark par4/116/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par23/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par15/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 209y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%4/11Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%23/04Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 75%13/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%3/07
Projected finish3rd of 10
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
5
OR 9418/1
Spirit Mixer silks

Mr J C Smith

8yo Gelding · 9-10

Frankel - Arabian Queen (Dubawi)

Saffie Osborne70%A M Balding80%
143040
3.0Class ↓1

Edged out Dancing In Paris to win last year's Northumberland Plate. Has shown he's still capable of useful form this year but ran no sort of race when defending his Northumberland Plate crown latest.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/0813/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par25/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par28/03 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%20/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%25/09Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 36%8/05Pos 19 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 19 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 5%27/06
Projected finish4th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
6
OR 914/1
Kilmeaden silks

The Cheeky Pups

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Galileo - Aegean Girl (Henrythenavigator)

C Y Ho60%Faye Bramley
102735
3.0
Tongue strap

Flat/hurdle winner for Donnacha O'Brien. Respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at the Curragh (2m, good to firm) 6 weeks ago. Has left one good yard to join another.

Class Advantage

12/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/017/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/03 · C13 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par3/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par24/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par26/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move8
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%12/01Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 25%12/03Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 91%24/05Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%26/06
Projected finish5th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
4
OR 8118/1
Hermetic silks

John Nicholls Racing

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Sea The Stars - Lunch Lady (Shamardal)

C P Lemaire60%Ian Williams
114464
4.0

Won twice (including over 2m) from 4 starts for Christophe Ferland in France. Encouraging fourth in big-field handicaps on 2 of his 3 starts for Ian Williams, latterly the Northumberland Vase over 2m at Newcastle. Likely to be winning for this yard soon.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/096/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par7/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 209y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%20/09Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%2/11Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 81%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%7/06Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 84%27/06
Projected finish6th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
8
OR 9020/1
Dancing In Paris silks

Mr Joseph Smith

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Olympic Glory - Ponte Sanangelo (Authorized)

L FerrarisIan Williams
240905
2.0Going 8.0

Acquitted himself well without winning in staying handicaps last year. Best effort this year when fifth of 9 over 1½m here 15 days ago and this former course scorer is well treated if able to build on that.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par2/0820/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par6/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par24/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 209y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%2/08Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 12 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 12 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 21%6/09Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 26%27/06Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%24/07
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
7
OR 8411/1
Pole Star silks

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed Al Maktoum

4yo Gelding · 9-0

Teofilo - Lunar Maria (Dubawi)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%C Johnston
043509
3.0

Successful 3 times last season and started 2026 with some good in-frame efforts. Two lesser runs have followed but the return to 2m should help and he has the services of Dylan Browne McMonagle.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par11/1017/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par3/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par31/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 209y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%11/10Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 82%3/05Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 9%20/06Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 11%10/07
Projected finish8th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
10
OR 8614/1
Oneforthegutter silks

Tracey Bell & Caroline Lyons

7yo Gelding · 9-2

Muhaarar - Rainbow Springs (Selkirk)

M Velon60%Ian Williams70%
008788
2.0Class ↓2
1st Tongue Strap +2

Very useful staying handicapper at his best. Hasn't reached that level in his 3 starts this year but is favourably treated if a first-time tongue tie sparks a return to form.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/098/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par12/12 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/12 · mark par2/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 209y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 23%20/09Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%12/12Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%20/06Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%10/07
Projected finish9th of 10
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
9
OR 9250/1
Lavender Hill Mob silks

Mr J Fyffe

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Expert Eye - Whazzat (Daylami)

Jamie MelhamJames Owen60%
003860
2.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Useful hurdle and Flat winner for this yard. Below par on the Flat in recent starts, including in the Ascot Stakes at the Royal meeting in June. Off since. Cheekpieces go back on.

Class Advantage

25/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/0915/11 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/11 · mark par6/12 · C2 · finish vs mark below6/12 · mark par28/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par17/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 209y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%25/09Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 17%6/12Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%17/04Pos 14 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 32%16/06
Projected finish10th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend