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13:45 · Ascot

Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

1m 3f 211yGoing TBCClass 24YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 9810/1
Insanity silks

McNeill Family & The Spero Partnership

Insanity

6yo Gelding · 10-1

Nathaniel - Queen's Dream (Oasis Dream)

M Velon60%A King60%
322020
5.0Going 10.0

Resumed with a good second at Pontefract (1¼m, good) in April but turned in a below-par thirteenth of 17 in Duke Of Edinburgh at the Royal meeting over C&D last time. Took this in 2024 and also third last year so he's a likely player again freshened up after a break.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/0822/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par11/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par8/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par21/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%9/08Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 92%11/10Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 48%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%21/04Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%19/06
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
Top Pick1
OR 9714/1
Night Breeze silks

Midtech 2

Night Breeze

6yo Gelding · 10-0

New Approach - Right Direction (Cape Cross)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%Ian Williams60%
341233
8.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Won twice over C&D (including this contest) in 2025. Has continued on the up, scoring at Epsom in April and good placed efforts in competitive handicaps since, third of 17 at Goodwood (1¼m, good to firm) 11 days ago. Very much one to consider again.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/0426/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par28/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par6/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par28/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 85%3/04Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%28/04Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 82%4/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%28/07
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
5
OR 8910/1
Fantasy Believer silks

Chris & David Stam

Fantasy Believer

9yo Gelding · 9-6

Make Believe - Avizare (Lawman)

Saffie Osborne70%5/12E Walker60%
160504
3.0Class ↓1

Scored at Doncaster last September and has resumed in good form, fourth of 9 in handicap over C&D 15 days ago. Merits consideration eased 1 lb.

Class Advantage

13/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/0928/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par25/10 · C2 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par12/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par24/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%13/09Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%25/10Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 52%11/07Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%24/07
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
Market Fav6
OR 8915/2
Stem silks

Mrs Johnny de la Hey

Stem

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Calyx - Princess Cleopatra (Bernardini)

Jamie MelhamR Hannon60%
229041
6.0Going 8.0

Low-mileage 4-y-o who gained a first win since his debut in 9-runner handicap at Sandown (1¼m, good to firm) last month. Up 2 lb but weighted to go well again on his first try at this trip.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/0920/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par18/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par5/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par19/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%6/09Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 65%18/04Pos 13 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 13 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%19/06Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%4/07
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
8
OR 9915/2
Claymore silks

Mrs Jane Chapple-Hyam

Claymore

7yo Gelding · 10-2

New Bay - Brit Wit (High Chaparral)

C L ChauJane Chapple-Hyam60%
778518
4.0Class ↓2

Resumed winning ways when making all at Windsor in June but only eighth of 12 to Sportingsilvermine in handicap at Newmarket (1½m, firm) 35 days ago. Needs to get back on track.

Class Advantage

16/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/0120/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par27/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%16/01Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%6/03Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 36%4/07
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
4
OR 9112/1
Castle Stuart silks

P D Smith Holdings Ltd

Castle Stuart

4yo Colt · 9-8

Dubawi - Golden Crown (Siyouni)

L FerrarisR A Fahey60%
766023
5.0Class ↓1

Dual 1m/9f victor for Karl Burke in 2024/25. In excellent form without winning for his current yard, third of 22 in John Smith's Cup at York four weeks ago. Well in the mix again.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par8/1129/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par15/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par30/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%8/11Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 64%15/05Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 93%12/06Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%11/07
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 9720/1
Frances Ethel silks

Team Valor

Frances Ethel

6yo Mare · 10-0

Rafeef - Daphne Garland (Fort Wood)

C Y Ho60%W J Haggas
279952
4.0Class ↓2Going 8.0

Useful 4-time winner in South Africa in 2024. Best of 3 runs for current yard when second of 9 in all-weather 1¼m Lingfield handicap in December. Not out of things after a break.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/102/11 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/11 · mark par3/12 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/12 · mark par3/12projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 91%12/10Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 56%30/11Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%17/11Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 88%3/12
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
7
OR 9125/1
Asgard's Captain silks

Quest Thoroughbreds - Asgard's Captain

Asgard's Captain

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Make Believe - Twiggy's Girl (Manduro)

R L Moore60%Dylan Cunha
341406
4.0

Back to winning ways over 1½m at Newmarket in May. Largely in good form subsequently, sixth of 10 in handicap at Newmarket (1¾m, good to firm) 29 days ago.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/0328/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par15/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par6/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 82%13/03Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%15/05Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 42%27/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%10/07
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
9
OR 9122/1
Sportingsilvermine silks

Mr Gordon McDowall

Sportingsilvermine

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Holy Roman Emperor - Praskovia (Manduro)

Yutaka TakeJames Owen
071310
5.0

Advanced his form this summer when gaining a second success in handicap at Newmarket (1½m). Beat only one turned out under a 5 lb penalty in John Smith's Cup at York since. No surprise to see him bounce back after a break.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0513/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 36%8/05Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%30/05Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 21 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 5%11/07
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
10
OR 9550/1
Enemy silks

Tracey Bell & Caroline Lyons

Enemy

9yo Gelding · 9-12

Muhaarar - Prudenzia (Dansili)

F Valle Skar60%Ian Williams70%
310990
2.0Class ↓2
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Veteran who scored on all-weather in January/February. Not at his best since, although he possibly found the run coming too soon when last of 12 to Sportingsilvermine in handicap at Newmarket (1½m, firm) 35 days ago. Cheekpieces back on now and this course winner can't be ruled out.

Class Advantage

6/02 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/02 · mark par6/0227/02 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par3/04 · C2 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par30/05 · C2 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%6/02Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 18%3/04Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 47%16/06Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%4/07
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend