14:55 · Ascot

Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

1m 3f 211yGoing TBCClass 33YO onlyTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 8813/8
Hoseki silks

Mr Simon Munir & Mr Isaac Souede

3yo Filly · 9-12

Saxon Warrior - Sea Karats (Sea The Stars)

Saffie Osborne70%W J Haggas
34111
9.0

Progressive filly who won at Redcar and Chester before completing her hat-trick over C&D last month by a short-head. Up another 5 lb but has not yet reached her ceiling and another bold bid is anticipated.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/1018/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%25/10Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%18/11Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%26/05Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%10/07
Projected finish1st of 10
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Market Fav3
OR 805/4
Royal Poetry silks

Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obai

3yo Filly · 9-4

Lope De Vega - Zabeel Queen (Frankel)

Yutaka TakeR Hannon60%
127212
7.0Going 8.0

Looked suited by patient tactics when ready winner of a 5-runner 1½m Doncaster handicap last month and backed that up when length second in similar event at Salisbury 7 days later. Capable of being involved.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/043/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par16/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par9/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%10/04Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%16/05Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%25/07
Projected finish2nd of 10
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 9213/2
Archers Bay silks

Walter Moraes & Ajay Anne

3yo Colt · 10-2

Wootton Bassett - Foxtrot Liv (Foxwedge)

R L Moore60%M Botti60%
311394
7.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Won his first 2 starts after joining Marco Botti, including at Newmarket in April. Disappointed in the Italian Derby in June but shaped as if back in form when fourth of 6 at Newmarket (July course) last month, short of room and finishing with running left. One for the shortlist.

Class Advantage

5/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/1020/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/12 · mark par15/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par1/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par10/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%5/10Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%6/12Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%1/05Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%10/07
Projected finish3rd of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
2
OR 799/2
King Of Berkshire silks

Mrs A Althani

3yo Colt · 9-3

Camelot - Full Rose (Aqlaam)

C P Lemaire60%A M Balding70%
213134
6.0Going 10.0

Made a promising start in handicaps, scoring at Redcar in April before doubling his tally in 6-runner 1½m event at Thirsk in June. Found a 6-lb penalty anchoring him at Sandown next time, though, and ran below form taking on his elders for the first time in 1¾m event at this course last month.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/0430/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par11/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%21/04Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%18/05Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 33%12/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%11/07
Projected finish4th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 8618/1
Blue Hercules silks

Perspicacious Punters Racing Club

3yo Colt · 9-10

Ghaiyyath - Sousmain (Shamardal)

Jamie MelhamW Muir & C Grassick
84202
6.0

Fairly useful maiden who disappointed in King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot on handicap debut but got firmly back on track when neck second over C&D last time. Up 3 lb in a tougher race now, though.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0415/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a29/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%18/04Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 63%15/05Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%29/05Pos 18 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 6%18/06Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 86%11/07
Projected finish5th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
5
OR 787/4
Level Look silks

Kingsclere Racing Club

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Passing Glance - Inclyne (Intello)

F Valle Skar60%A M Balding70%
04142
6.0

Left his first 2 runs behind to win 4-runner novice at Newcastle (1¼m) in January. Better than result both starts since, left with too much to do 1½ lengths second in 1½m handicap at Chester last time. Not yet fully exposed, but this represents toughest task to date.

Class Advantage

1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/1222/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/01 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par2/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%1/12Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 73%22/12Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%9/01Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%2/08
Projected finish6th of 10
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
9
OR 857/2
Pierre Grosse silks

Mrs J Barrett/richard Galway

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Palace Pier - Waldfabel (Frankel)

L FerrarisMrs J Harrington80%
632422
5.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Fairly useful gelding who's made the frame in all 5 starts this season and has been runner-up on 3 of his last 4, including in a 1½m 6-runner maiden at the Curragh on latest. Improvement required now back in a handicap with first-time cheekpieces applied.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/1012/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par9/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par20/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%12/10Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%9/05Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%20/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%19/07
Projected finish7th of 10
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
7
OR 7613/2
Last Verse silks

Trevor And Ruth Milner

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Camelot - After (Danehill Dancer)

Suraj Narredu60%J Parr60%
353813
5.0
Cheek pieces

Showed improved form to get off the mark in 4-runner 1½m handicap at Chepstow in July for Andrew Balding. Made a satisfactory start for current connections despite hanging right when 2½ lengths third of 4 in 1¾m at Sandown last time, but this requires more.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a23/0528/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%23/05Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 0%2/09Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%29/07
Projected finish8th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
10
OR 7611/2
Ohara silks

Anthony Pye-jeary And David Ian

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Iffraaj - Magique (Jeremy)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%Eve Johnson Houghton80%
419820
3.0

Decisive winner of a nursery at Pontefract (1m, heavy) at the end of last season and turned in a career-best effort when second of 4 in handicap (5/1) at Chepstow (1½m, good to firm) in July. Refused to settle back in a deeper race over C&D last time, though, and needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par9/1020/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par11/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%9/10Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 27%11/05Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%3/07Pos 15 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 15 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%25/07
Projected finish9th of 10
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
8
OR 8625/1
Baltic Fleet silks

Andy Bell & Fergus Lyons

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Space Blues - Duchess Of Danzig (Sea The Stars)

C L ChauIan Williams60%
51232P
6.0
1st Visor +2

Yarmouth 2-y-o maiden winner but has stepped up in handicaps, finishing third of 14 in a warm event at York in May before second at Wolverhampton 15 days later. Sold for £170,000 afterwards but ran no sort of race on recent stable debut. Wears first-time visor.

Class Advantage

1/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0918/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par29/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%1/09Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%18/09Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 86%5/04Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 85%14/05Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 67%29/05
Projected finish10th of 10
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend