15:30 · Ascot

Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) (Rnd)

7f 213yGoing TBCClass 24YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 1039/1
Crown Board silks

Mr Laurence Holder

6yo Gelding · 9-12

Lope De Vega - Against Rules (Aussie Rules)

F Valle Skar60%Jane Chapple-Hyam60%
148032
7.0Class ↓2

Returned from a 4-month break in good form, finishing third of 10 at Newmarket 35 days ago before good second of 11 here 14 days ago and he looks to be right at the top of his game so merits plenty of respect.

Class Advantage

25/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/11 · mark par25/1111/12 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/12 · mark par23/01 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/01 · mark par28/02 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 213y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%25/11Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%23/01Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%4/07Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%25/07
Projected finish1st of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 1037/1
Ebt's Guard silks

Mr Jayant Pindolia

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Cable Bay - Whims Of Desire (Nathaniel)

Suraj Narredu60%W Muir & C Grassick
404439
5.0Class ↓1

Won this race from 5 lb lower mark last year and several in-frame efforts this campaign give him place chances once more for in-form stable.

Class Advantage

1/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/12 · mark par1/1218/04 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par16/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 213y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%1/12Pos 18 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 18 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%16/05Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 85%4/07Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 53%31/07
Projected finish2nd of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
5
OR 9750/1
Popmaster silks

Laurence Bellman

8yo Gelding · 9-6

Gutaifan - Best New Show (Clodovil)

L FerrarisE Walker60%
227044
5.0Class ↓2

Running consistently well and was a good fourth at Sandown last time when ridden to pick up the pieces in a well-run race. Can enter calculations if similar scenario unfolds.

Class Advantage

25/02 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/02 · mark par25/0227/02 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par3/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par9/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par5/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 213y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%25/02Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 54%3/04Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 48%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 82%5/06Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 77%4/07
Projected finish3rd of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Value2
OR 10612/1
Cerulean Bay silks

Nick Cable

5yo Gelding · 10-1

New Bay - Kathy Sun (Intikhab)

Jamie MelhamD O'Meara60%
425842
6.0Class ↓1

Ran well when fifth of 28 in the Royal Hunt Cup at the Royal Meeting and went close at Glorious Goodwood 8 days ago, running another cracker in a top-end handicap. Hard to rule out another good showing assuming this doesn't come too quickly for him.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/0414/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par26/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 213y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%25/04Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 85%17/06Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%26/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 94%31/07
Projected finish4th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 10250/1
Fondo Blanco silks

King Power Racing Co Ltd

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Ten Sovereigns - Farzeen (Farhh)

M Velon60%R Varian80%
722140
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓1
1st Tongue Strap +2

Progressive at 3 yrs, winning at Haydock before good fourth in listed company at Nottingham. Drawn on the wrong side in the Buckingham Palace at the Royal Meeting on return so worth another chance with a tongue strap now applied.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par26/0517/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par27/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/09 · mark par29/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/10 · mark par18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par18/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 213y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 7 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 50%26/05Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%5/09Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%29/10Pos 21 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 26%18/06
Projected finish5th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
8
OR 10411/2
Two Tribes silks

Phil Cunningham

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Rajasinghe - Warsash (War Command)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%R Spencer60%
000720
4.0Class ↓1
Blinkers

Course winner who also produced a good effort when second of 16 here over 7f in July and easily excused latest effort when stumbling badly at the start at Goodwood. Can be expected to bounce back if able to prove his stamina for this step up to 1m.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/026/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 213y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%28/02Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 58%20/06Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 93%25/07Pos 27 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 27 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%1/08
Projected finish6th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
10
OR 9718/1
Ozat silks

Miss Lauren Kiely

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Kingman - Ollie Olga (Stormy Atlantic)

R L Moore60%Ian Williams
800800
2.0Class ↓2

Best effort this year when eighth of 28 in Royal Hunt Cup here in June but he was also much better than the result when down field at Glorious Goodwood 8 days ago so he's not one to write off from falling mark.

Class Advantage

11/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/1118/04 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par5/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 213y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%11/11Pos 19 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 47%5/06Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 74%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%4/07Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 18%31/07
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 10322/1
Mister Winston silks

Norman Court Stud

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Churchill - Crazee Diamond (Rock Of Gibraltar)

C L ChauA M Balding80%
016100
4.0Going 8.0

Smart performer who won a 9f handicap at Epsom in June. Down field both starts since, but had excuses when poorly placed last time and is in right hands to get back on the up.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/09 · mark par27/0914/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par2/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par5/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 213y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%27/09Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 55%2/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 23 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 23 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 19%17/06Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 24%31/07
Projected finish8th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Market Fav6
OR 10111/2
Bullet Point silks

The Marathon Partnership

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Advertise - Crying Lightening (Holy Roman Emperor)

C P Lemaire60%W J Haggas70%
217070
4.0Class ↓1
1st Cheekpieces +2

Smart last year when winning a valuable York handicap last August. Needed his return in May and would have been a lot closer at Newbury last time granted luck in running so he could achieve a lot more now dropped 3 lb and fitted with first-time cheekpieces after 84 days off.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par18/0626/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par21/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par23/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par2/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par16/05 · C2 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 213y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 97%18/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 94%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 14%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 45%2/05Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 21%16/05
Projected finish9th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
9
OR 9650/1
Serengeti silks

Mr Jim Gill

4yo Colt · 9-5

Wootton Bassett - Holy Roman Empress (American Pharoah)

C Y Ho60%M Murphy60%
450010
4.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Won over 1¼m at Windsor in May as a 50/1 shot but failed to back that up when stepped up further in trip here in June. Off since and back down markedly in trip so looks hard to fancy in this company.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C2 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/0118/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/03 · mark par18/04 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par9/05 · C2 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par25/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 213y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%1/01Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 21 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 13%18/04Pos 28 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 28 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 100%25/05Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%19/06
Projected finish10th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend