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17:25 · Kelso

In Memory Of Rossie Maitland-Carew Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m 1f 14yGoing TBCClass 34YO plusTURFHandicap3 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 125
4/5
Duke Of Luckley silks

Martin Keighley Racing Partnership 25

Duke Of Luckley

9yo Gelding · 12-0

Mahler - Emily's Princess (Flemensfirth)

Freddie Keighley60%2/4−5lbM Keighley70%
PP13V1
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓1
Visor

Enterprisingly ridden when winning on reappearance for the second successive season at Southwell in early-June. Struggled from 9 lb higher next time but left with a simple task when a wide-margin winner at Stratford (17f) recently. Opposable back up 3 lb for that virtual non-event.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/0529/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par20/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par2/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par3/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par25/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 14y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%20/05Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%20/07Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%3/07Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%25/08
Projected finish1st of 3100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.9%Ahead 3/4
2
2
OR 118
13/8
Conquer The Breeze silks

Miss Hazel Crichton

Conquer The Breeze

7yo Gelding · 11-7

War Command - Dancing With Stars (Where Or When)

Ryan Mania60%4/5A Nicol60%
P11411
8.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Has been much improved since joining current yard, making it 4 wins from 5 starts in 6-runner event at Perth (2m) when last seen in mid-July, beating the reopposing Garde Des Champs by 10 lengths. Timefigure supported that performance so can pick up from where he left off upped another 8 lb.

Class Advantage

13/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/11 · mark par13/119/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par19/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par21/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 14y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%13/11Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%19/05Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%21/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%12/07
Projected finish2nd of 350% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.1%Ahead 3/4
3
3
OR 103
7/1
Garde Des Champs silks

The Champs

Garde Des Champs

10yo Gelding · 10-6

Robin Des Champs - La Reine De Riogh (Presenting)

D R Fox70%0/8L Russell & M Scudamore70%
843328
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Unreliable sort who failed to arrest the slide back hurdling for the first time in over 2 years last month. Likely faces another struggle, though much lower in the weights than when 3rd in 2024 (9 lb) and 4th in 2025 (14 lb) renewals of this race.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/0413/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par7/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%20/04Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%7/06Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%12/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%15/08
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.8%Ahead 1/4