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13:31 · Yarmouth

British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f 3yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav2
8/11
Bidsta silks

Victorious Forever

Bidsta

2yo Filly · 9-2

Mehmas - Grizzel (Kodiac)

Billy Loughnane80%0/1G Boughey
2
8.0Going 8.0

Promising sort who showed plenty of ability when close second of 10 in maiden at Newbury (6f, firm) on debut 21 days ago. Looks sure to improve and is the one to beat.

Class Advantage

26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%26/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.6%Ahead 1/1
5
Top Pick1
OR 79
3/1
Faith In Florence silks

Mr James

Faith In Florence

2yo Filly · 9-2

Mehmas - Charlotte Rosina (Choisir)

K Shoemark60%0/2E Walker
423
7.0Going 8.0

Posted fair form in all 3 starts thus far, latest when third of 5 in novice at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm) 40 days ago. Back up in trip. Looks sure to give another good account.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0617/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/077/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%18/06Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 90%17/07Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 50%7/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.0%Ahead 1/3
8
3
OR 66
10/1
Plastic Dream silks

Jeram Stables Corp

Plastic Dream

2yo Filly · 9-2

Havana Grey - Voicemail (Poet's Voice)

S De Sousa60%0/1C A Dwyer
43
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Showed ability when fourth on debut at Newmarket last month and ran to a similar level when third of 14 in novice (12/1) at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 9 days ago. Each-way claims.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/087/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%20/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 85%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.4%Ahead 2/2
3
4
OR 68
16/1
Blue Sign silks

Mr Abdulla Al Mansoori

Blue Sign

2yo Filly · 9-2

Blue Point - Intisaar (War Front)

Tom Marquand70%I Mohammed & J Santos60%
4085
3.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Lightly-raced maiden. Posted fair effort in Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot in June but has rather gone backwards since. Work to do.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/0519/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/069/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/073/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%30/05Pos 17 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 33%19/06Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%9/07Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%3/08
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.4%Ahead 3/4
6
5
50/1
Happy Daisy silks

Mr J W Parry & Partner

Happy Daisy

2yo Filly · 9-2

Gleneagles - Ihtifal (Dansili)

Grace McEntee60%0/1S C Williams80%
75
3.0

Related to some useful types but has failed to beat a rival home in either start thus far. Probably one for the longer term.

Class Advantage

31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/0724/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%31/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%24/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/2
4
7
12/1
Cuban Promise silks

Moulton Racing And Whitsbury Manor Stu

Cuban Promise

2yo Filly · 9-2

Havana Grey - I Promised Myself (Dabirsim)

D Egan60%Tom Clover
5
2.0Going 8.0

Not unfancied in the market but offered little in novice at Lingfield on debut 22 days ago. Likely to need more time.

Class Advantage

25/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 20%25/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -61.6%Ahead 0/1
7
6
20/1
Hoya Bella silks

Mrs P I Veenbaas

Hoya Bella

2yo Filly · 9-2

Kameko - Conservatory (Observatory)

David Probert70%James Owen60%
No form3.0

Foaled April 25. Kameko filly. Half-sister to 1¼m-1½m winner Jawhary. Breeding suggests she may find this trip on the sharp side first time up.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish7th of 814% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
1
8
25/1
Antoinette silks

Johnstone Partnership

Antoinette

2yo Filly · 9-2

Time Test - Reine Du Bal (Mukhadram)

George Wood60%James Owen
No form3.0

Foaled March 11. Time Test filly. Dam, runner-up at 1m, half-sister to useful 9f-11f winner (stays 16.5f) Percy Shelley. Looks one for longer trips judged on pedigree.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish8th of 80% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%