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14:38 · Plumpton

Mansell McTaggart Mane Event Handicap Hurdle

3m 217yGood (Good to Firm in Places)Class 54YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
2
OR 81
5/1
French Diablo silks

The French Diablo Partnership

French Diablo

4yo Gelding · 10-12

Buck's Boum - Cozumel Island (Martaline)

David Bass70%1/2M Comley60%
8P31P5
5.0

Lightly-raced 4-y-o. Form of his breakthrough success at Stratford (2¾m) hasn't worked out. Did at least run better than on his previous start when beaten 8½ lengths at Worcester last time, and this looks less competitive.

Class Advantage

28/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/1117/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 3m 217y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%28/11Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%17/12Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%29/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%10/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.8%Ahead 3/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 97
5/2
Mancero silks

W Frewen & Lady Coe

Mancero

4yo Gelding · 12-0

Storm The Stars - Arbequina (Toronado)

S Bowen80%2/3D Pipe80%
41P218
6.0Going 8.0
1st Visor +2

Recorded 2 wins and a second (chasing home one on the up) at Worcester this summer. Disappointed off his revised mark there last time. May well bounce back for a change of headgear, though, as he bids for a third success under Sean Bowen.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/045/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par10/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par22/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 100%Dist: 3m 217y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%21/04Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%28/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 8 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 8 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%19/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.8%Ahead 2/4
3
Market Fav4
OR 90
15/8
Jefe Triunfo silks

Miss Jane Goddard

Jefe Triunfo

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Cima De Triomphe - Assemblee A Brion (Epalo)

Freddie Gordon60%1/7C Gordon60%
U80754
3.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Tumbled in the weights since finishing third behind a wide-margin winner in valuable novice final at Worcester this time last year. May come on for his 5¼-length fourth on return at Fontwell latest. Shapes like a stayer and could be worth a chance tackling 3m for first time with headgear on.

Class Advantage

19/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par19/1010/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/11 · mark par6/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par6/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 100%Dist: 3m 217y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%19/10Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 18%6/04Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 43%2/06Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%6/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.7%Ahead 1/4
4
6
OR 83
6/1
Pooroldmackley silks

BAYTREE

Pooroldmackley

7yo Gelding · 11-5

Getaway - Parkview Delight (Oscar)

Miss Eleanor Williams1/8−7lbMrs C Williams60%
3PF744
5.0

Versatile hold-up performer. Back on his latest winning mark and shaped as if in top form when beaten 7½ lengths (finished with running left under regular amateur jockey) at Worcester in early-July. Pace scenario again looks less than ideal, though.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par7/0731/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par10/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 50%Dist: 3m 217y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%7/07Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%19/09Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%6/06Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 63%10/07
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.3%Ahead 3/4
7
3
OR 64
33/1
Glorious Mist silks

Miss M P Bryant, David & Eileen Bryant

Glorious Mist

9yo Mare · 10-2

Fame And Glory - Amazon Mist (King's Theatre)

M Goldstein0/2Miss M P Bryant60%
79PPF4
4.0
Cheek pieces

Poor maiden. Starts out for new yard having offered little on final start for Paddy Butler last month.

Class Advantage

30/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par30/1112/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par25/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 83%Dist: 3m 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 17%30/11Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 89%12/06Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%21/09Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%28/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.7%Ahead 4/4
5
5
OR 76
14/1
Stage Show silks

West Buckland Bloodstock Ltd

Stage Show

6yo Gelding · 10-12

Showcasing - Floria Tosca (Shamardal)

Isabelle Ryder60%1/4−5lbAlexandra Dunn60%
741656
4.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Didn't kick on over hurdles after belatedly getting off the mark under this claimer at Exeter last October. Form since gone the wrong way on the Flat following a victory, too, faring no better on the back of a breathing operation latest. Difficult to be bullish on return to hurdling.

Class Advantage

1/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par1/0417/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par14/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par30/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 50%Dist: 3m 217y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%1/04Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 1 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 100%14/05Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%27/06Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%30/07
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 1/4