18:45 · Churchill Downs

Race 5 - Claiming

7f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
3
OR 88
4/1
Greers Ferry silks

Holly Ramsey

5yo Gelding · 8-9

More Than Ready - Dee Dee Bertie (Bluegrass Cat)

Rafael Bejarano60%0/3Carlos Santamaria60%
413384
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

23/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/01 · mark par23/0113/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par18/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par7/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par28/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%23/01Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%18/05Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%28/09Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%7/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.3%Ahead 2/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 79
8/1
Act Of Parliament silks

Four Corners Racing, Cory Moelis Racing Llc And Sussman, Jeremy

3yo Colt · 8-8

Quality Road - Fuhriously Kissed (Langfuhr)

Luis Saez0/1Matt Shirer60%
5031
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

3/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/056/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/0626/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/0818/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 64%3/05Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%6/06Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%26/08Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.2%Ahead 2/4
6
Market Fav2
OR 90
3/1
Kid Twist silks

Moshe Mark

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Dialed In - Samurai's Honor (First Samurai)

Jose Ortiz70%Carlos David
323253
6.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

8/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par8/0426/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par23/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par12/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 78%8/04Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%23/05Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%11/07Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 82%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.0%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 90
9/2
Valiant Humor silks

Freedom My Way Stable Llc And Flowers, Kelly

4yo Colt · 8-9

Practical Joke - Valiant Emilia (Pegasus Wind)

Axel Concepcion0/3Shelly Radosevich
031766
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/0922/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/10 · mark par8/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par3/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par23/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par11/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%21/09Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%8/11Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 38%23/08Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 29%11/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.5%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 91
5/1
Mcfasty silks

Workman Ranch

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Mitole - Withyourpermission (Take Charge Indy)

Jaime TorresCarlos Santamaria60%
631566
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

20/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/1127/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par5/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par28/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par12/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par19/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%20/11Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%5/02Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%12/06Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%19/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.7%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 86
10/1
Equilibrium silks

Stewart Denholtz

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Omaha Beach - Out Of Balance (Kitten's Joy)

Victor Carrasco1/2Ian Wilkes80%
157
5.0
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

23/05 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a23/0521/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/0621/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%21/06Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 14%21/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 1/3
8
7
OR 88
8/1
Easy Dial silks

Louisville Bred Racing

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Dialed In - Arisia (Declaration Of War)

Francisco ArrietaThomas Van60%
21563
5.0

Class Advantage

21/03 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a21/0324/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par21/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par18/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%21/03Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%24/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%21/05Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%18/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%7/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.9%Ahead 2/4
4
8
OR 84
6/1
White Whale silks

Matt Murphy

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Hightail - Elusive Diva (Elusive Quality)

Brian Jr HernandezW Calhoun
353667
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

31/01 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/01 · mark par31/0122/02 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par16/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par11/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%31/01Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%16/04Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 17%19/07Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 14%11/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -32.0%Ahead 0/4