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19:00 · Wolverhampton

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 1)

1m 142yGoing TBCClass 64YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 53
13/8
Equion silks

Royale Racing Syndicate

Equion

8yo Gelding · 9-13

Mayson - Eleodora (Dubawi)

L Morris70%1/5A W Carroll
654981
6.0Class ↓4

C&D winner who bounced back to form when taking 9-runner handicap at Ffos Las (1m, soft, 5/2) 8 days ago, driven out. 4-lb penalty to carry now but must enter calculations.

Class Advantage

6/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par6/0119/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/01 · mark par20/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%6/01Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%20/06Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%15/08Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%21/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.8%Ahead 2/4
4
3
OR 51
9/4
Kev silks

North Farm Syndicate

Kev

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Land Force - Kristollini (Bertolini)

H Crouch60%W Muir & C Grassick
980512
6.0

Off the mark on second start for this yard at Lingfield in August and backed that up with creditable second of 12 in handicap (11/2) at Bath (1¼m, good) 16 days ago. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage

21/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/0217/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par13/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%21/02Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%19/05Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 91%13/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.0%Ahead 3/4
5
4
OR 50
11/2
Mythical Isle silks

Mr Herbert Bourchier

Mythical Isle

4yo Gelding · 9-6

No Nay Never - Sophie P (Bushranger)

Paddy Bradley1/7P Morris
491756
3.0

Capitalised on the drop into classified company for the first time at this course (7f) in June but not really built on that back in handicap company since. Figures off a handy mark, though.

Class Advantage

23/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/03 · mark par23/036/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 63%23/03Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%2/06Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%30/07Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 38%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.7%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 47
13/2
Tortola silks

Mr Alastair Ralph

Tortola

4yo Filly · 9-3

Cotai Glory - Rhythm Queen (Danehill Dancer)

R Havlin60%0/1A Ralph
020784
3.0

Took a step back in right direction, on second start for new yard, when respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at this course (7f, 10/1) 8 days ago. Back up in trip. Warrants respect.

Class Advantage

13/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par13/022/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par15/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%13/02Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%15/07Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%18/09Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%21/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.9%Ahead 2/4
2
2
OR 53
33/1
Offiah's Boy silks

The Legacy Group Racing Club

Offiah's Boy

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Le Brivido - Zerka (Invincible Spirit)

Billy Loughnane80%J Tickle60%
621350
5.0Class ↓4

Returned to winning ways over similar trip at Lingfield last month and posted respectable efforts on his next 2 starts. Needs to bounce back from a poor run at Windsor, though.

Class Advantage

15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/0731/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 29%15/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%4/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%2/09Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 10%14/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.0%Ahead 1/4
3
6
OR 53
20/1
Cy Twombly silks

Derbyshire Racing Ii

Cy Twombly

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Mehmas - Turuqaat (Fantastic Light)

C Lee70%J Mackie60%
940988
2.0
Visor

Yet to register a victory and he arrives out of sorts, only eighth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (1m, 33/1) 5 days ago. Best watched.

Class Advantage

21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par21/0730/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par24/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%21/07Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 9%26/08Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 36%15/09Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 42%24/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.2%Ahead 2/4
8
9
OR 46
14/1
Coiled silks

Mr Mark Rimell

Coiled

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Coulsty - Rise Up Lotus (Zebedee)

Callum Hutchinson60%0/2M G Rimell
007395
3.0Class ↓4

Long-standing maiden who arrives on back of respectable fifth of 14 in handicap at Bath (1m, good to firm) 17 days ago. Challenge is to build on that here.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/0726/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%7/07Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%5/08Pos 3 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 11%10/09Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 69%12/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.2%Ahead 3/4
9
7
OR 45
25/1
Belltony silks

Ocean's Five

Belltony

4yo Gelding · 9-1

Massaat - Bellevarde (Kodiac)

Darragh Keenan60%0/1R J Price
746559
3.0

Little impact in a handful of starts, running no sort of race at Ffos Las last week. Makes limited appeal.

Class Advantage

30/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0123/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%30/01Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%16/03Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%30/06Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%21/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.8%Ahead 2/4
6
8
OR 49
33/1
Liberty Bird silks

Mrs L Edghill

Liberty Bird

4yo Filly · 9-5

Without Parole - Skrei (Approve)

S M Levey70%0/1H J Evans
009P79
2.0Class ↓3

Good second on final start for Charlie Johnston but changed hands without success a few times since (had breathing operation after last run). Cheekpieces quickly discarded.

Class Advantage

29/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/11 · mark par29/1122/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par11/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/02 · mark par30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 14%29/11Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 11 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 11 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%11/02Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%6/06Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%29/06
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.1%Ahead 3/4