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19:30 · Wolverhampton

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 2)

1m 142yGoing TBCClass 64YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Value2
OR 47
7/1
Lhebayeb silks

Mr Douglas Boddy

Lhebayeb

8yo Mare · 9-1

Alhebayeb - Lady Gabrielle (Dansili)

Rose Dawes60%R J Price
160944
5.0
Hood

Struggles for consistency nowadays but scored in a classified event over C&D in March and ran to a similar level here on her penultimate start. Below par at Ffos Las since but better expected back at this venue with hood reapplied.

Class Advantage

10/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par10/0316/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/03 · mark par30/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%10/03Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 55%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 10%30/03Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%6/07Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%28/07
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.0%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 51
5/1
Dumfries silks

Buist, Shields, Thompson And Mrs R Car

Dumfries

6yo Gelding · 9-5

Cityscape - Milldale (Bushranger)

J P Sullivan60%3/24Mrs R Carr
655443
5.0

Below last winning mark and arrives on back of creditable third of 10 in handicap at Beverley over similar trip 13 days ago. One to consider.

Class Advantage

16/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/10 · mark par16/1014/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par16/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 44%16/10Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%28/07Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%27/08Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 78%16/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.4%Ahead 3/4
4
6
OR 51
7/2
African Spirit silks

Mrs S J Brookhouse

African Spirit

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Showcasing - African Skies (Johannesburg)

Billy Loughnane80%0/1Ian Williams70%
878333
5.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Sole success came at Newcastle for Ben Brookhouse on debut in 2023. Back in good form of late though for new yard, most recently when creditable third of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW) 19 days ago. One of likelier contenders.

Class Advantage

25/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/01 · mark par25/0116/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%25/01Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 30%8/06Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 82%30/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.1%Ahead 3/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 53
12/1
Knightmare silks

Dave & Emma Evans

Knightmare

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Mehmas - French Battle (Declaration Of War)

Alexandra McDonnell60%−7lbP D Evans70%
221255
5.0
Blinkers

Gained reward for a string of solid efforts when shedding maiden tag in classified race at Chepstow (1m) in July and posted fine second at Ffos Las 4 days later. Below that level since, however, and others look better treated.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/077/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 91%1/07Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%29/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 56%14/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.5%Ahead 1/4
1
3
OR 55
6/1
Book Of Life silks

Mls Racing And Partners

Book Of Life

6yo Gelding · 9-9

Dark Angel - Inspiriter (Invincible Spirit)

Paddy BradleyP Morris60%
527324
6.0Class ↓5
Cheek pieces

Remains a long a time without a win but made the frame again when fourth of 8 in handicap at Musselburgh (1m, good to firm) 17 days ago, nearest finish. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/064/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%17/06Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 45%25/07Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 89%2/09Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%12/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.3%Ahead 1/4
6
Market Fav7
OR 47
5/2
Nicely Curved silks

Stepaside Farm, Llc

Nicely Curved

6yo Mare · 9-1

Maclean's Music - Tiz Ladys Legs (Tiznow)

S D Bowen60%0/1Hayley Burton70%
273333
6.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Made the frame all 4 starts this season, latest when creditable third of 10 in minor event at Yarmouth (1m, firm) 46 days ago. Cheekpieces now added for first time and ought to go well again on handicap/tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0323/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par2/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%13/03Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 78%10/06Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%2/08Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 78%14/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.2%Ahead 2/4
5
8
OR 50
7/1
Spring silks

The Spring Set

Spring

4yo Filly · 9-4

Kodi Bear - Scarlet Plum (Pivotal)

Laura CoughlanMiss Celine De La Haye
756262
2.0Going 8.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Fourteen runs since last win in 2024 for Richard Hughes. Made the frame a couple of times at Les Landes more recently but it's hard to know the value of that form.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/0923/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par19/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par29/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par27/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/11 · mark par27/11projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%9/09Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 18%19/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%29/10Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%27/11
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.8%Ahead 2/4
8
5
OR 45
33/1
First Encounter silks

Mr T J F Smith

First Encounter

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Le Brivido - Miss Meticulous (Bahamian Bounty)

L Morris70%2/6J Gallagher60%
605408
3.0
Blinkers

Successful twice on all-weather earlier in the year but not been in same form more recently. Fairly treated if revived following a break. 1 lb out of the handicap.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/032/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%30/03Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%16/06Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%18/07Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 13%5/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.4%Ahead 1/4
9
9
OR 45
66/1
Hammal silks

The Regal Eagles

Hammal

5yo Gelding · 9-0

No Nay Never - Conniption (Danehill Dancer)

Callum Hutchinson60%0/1M Young80%
000960
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Yet to trouble the judge after 8 attempts and is readily passed over. Cheekpieces on for first time.

Class Advantage

22/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/0122/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 9%22/01Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%15/06Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 38%14/07Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 10%26/08
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.7%Ahead 3/4