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12:49 · Clonmel

Clonmel Handicap Hurdle

2m 166yGoing TBC3YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 105
5/2
Dairy Force silks

McConnell & O'Shea Partnership

Dairy Force

7yo Gelding · 11-7

Workforce - Golden Belief (Gold Well)

James Smith0/1−5lbG Elliott
253F62
5.0Going 8.0
Hood

Seventeen runs since last win in 2024 but posted a good second of 10 in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (2¼m, good to soft) 13 days ago, clear of the rest. Not taken lightly nudged up 2 lb.

Class Advantage

2/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par2/0712/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par27/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par13/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par3/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par18/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%2/07Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 79%27/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 62%3/09Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%18/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.2%Ahead 2/4
5
Market Fav3
OR 105
9/4
Vaureal silks

D J Gillen

Vaureal

7yo Gelding · 11-7

Kapgarde - Loin De Moi (Loup Solitaire)

Keith Donoghue60%0/5Ian Donoghue
754251
6.0

Resumed winning ways in 12-runner handicap chase at Punchestown (2½m, good) in June. Reverts to hurdles and must enter calculations.

Class Advantage

29/12 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par29/124/02 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par21/02 · C11 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par4/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par2/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par7/06 · C11 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par7/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%29/12Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%21/02Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 94%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%2/05Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%7/06
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.6%Ahead 4/4
7
4
OR 102
16/1
Earthwatch silks

Padraig Coffey & Tadhg Maher

Earthwatch

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Earthlight - Voladora (Medaglia D'oro)

Daniel King0/3D Hogan
44C46
3.0

A fairly useful 1m winner on the Flat. Yet to translate that form over hurdles and came in last of 9 back on the Flat here 15 days ago.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/049/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par16/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 79%5/04Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 9%27/06Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%8/08Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%16/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.9%Ahead 3/4
2
2
OR 113
14/1
Nelson Muntz silks

N D Kennelly

Nelson Muntz

7yo Gelding · 12-1

Mount Nelson - Boldilocks (King's Theatre)

Cian Quirke60%0/3D H Kelly60%
343056
4.0
Blinkers

On a losing run but this reliable sort posted a good second in first-time blinkers (retained) on Flat at Tramore before possibly finding the run coming too soon when sixth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (2½m, good) in July. Freshened up since, and he's weighted to go well.

Class Advantage

15/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par15/0128/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par1/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par29/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par10/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%15/01Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 48%1/05Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%7/07Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 62%10/07
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 2/4
1
7
OR 114
8/1
St Denis's Well silks

Declans Bar Syndicate

St Denis's Well

8yo Gelding · 12-2

Famous Name - Annie Greene (Indian Haven)

Caragh Monaghan1/4−7lbIan Donoghue60%
916P29
4.0
Tongue strap

Scored over hurdle at Navan (2m) in November. Failed to get home when ninth of 15 in handicap chase at Downpatrick (29f, soft) when last seen 6 months ago. Not out of things back over hurdles reverted in trip.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par11/1018/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par16/11 · C10 · finish vs mark above16/11 · mark par30/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/11 · mark par28/02 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par29/03 · C12 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par29/03projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 27%11/10Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%16/11Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%28/02Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%29/03
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.6%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 109
12/1
Stepdance silks

Charobana Ltd

Stepdance

6yo Mare · 11-11

Footstepsinthesand - Moonlight Danceuse (Bering)

Mike O'Connor60%H De Bromhead80%
558P
3.0

Fair form in maiden hurdles at the end of 2025. Fit from the Flat (fair winner) and a potential improver in handicaps back hurdling. Worth a market check.

Class Advantage

16/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/101/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 73%16/10Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%11/05Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 63%15/08Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%27/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.1%Ahead 1/4
11
11
OR 92
6/1
Max Meridius silks

Mrs Helen Mullins

Max Meridius

5yo Gelding · 10-8

Belardo - Pixie Belle (Echo Of Light)

Danny Mullins60%1/3T Mullins
905105
3.0

Free-going sort who gained a first success at Ballinrobe (17f) in July. Back on song with fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle there (2m, good) in August. Needs considering.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/0618/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par21/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par3/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par10/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%5/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 52%9/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%3/08Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%10/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.9%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 100
25/1
Silly Mongoose silks

He Aint Heavy Syndicate

Silly Mongoose

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Decorated Knight - Remal Dubai (Hard Spun)

Alex Harvey60%0/2P T Foley60%
805107
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Got off the mark in 2m maiden hurdle at Kilbeggan in June. Has run poorly switched to handicaps at Limerick and Kilbeggan (tongue tied) since, however.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/0810/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par24/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%4/08Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 75%14/05Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%2/07Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%24/07
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.5%Ahead 3/4
12
9
OR 90
50/1
Kome Dans Un Reve silks

Ms Patricia Hogan

Kome Dans Un Reve

6yo Gelding · 10-6

No Risk At All - Une Vie A Deux (Forestier)

Niall Moore60%0/6−5lbP Fenton
0U8060
2.0

Is 0-7 and came in twelfth of 20 in handicap hurdle at Galway (17f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Others appeal much more.

Class Advantage

13/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/0424/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par13/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par7/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%13/04Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 56%14/04Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%13/08Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 42%7/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.0%Ahead 3/4
10
12
OR 96
16/1
Home By The Sea silks

M O Cullinane

Home By The Sea

6yo Gelding · 10-12

Affinisea - Rita Pride (High Chaparral)

Richard Condon0/4−5lbP A Fahy60%
040650
2.0
1st Hood +1

Still a maiden but in decent form until failing to stay when thirteenth of 16 in handicap hurdle at Navan (19f, good to soft) 12 days ago. May still do better back in trip in a first-time hood.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/0716/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par28/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par19/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 77%6/07Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 12%29/07Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 69%28/08Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%19/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.2%Ahead 3/4
6
8
OR 102
16/1
Kazakh D'arthel silks

David L'Estrange

Kazakh D'arthel

6yo Gelding · 11-4

Cokoriko - Chimene D'arthel (Nickname)

Ross Sugrue60%−7lbP J Rothwell
14F089
3.0
Hood

Won novice chase at Cork (17f) last season but failed to make much impact over hurdles all 3 starts this season for Gavin Cromwell. Needs this yard switch to spark a resurgence. Hood refitted.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/0912/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par30/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par26/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par16/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par28/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%20/09Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 73%30/10Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%16/07Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%28/08
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.3%Ahead 0/4
9
10
OR 98
33/1
Champagne Dawn silks

Miss R Hickey

Champagne Dawn

9yo Gelding · 11-0

Shantou - Morning Calm (Montjeu)

Phillip Enright60%0/5T J O'Mara
8900P7
2.0

Failed to see his races out in handicaps last season. Well held returning from 9 months off when seventh of 18 at Cork in August.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/0817/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par4/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par8/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par14/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par3/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 166y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%22/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%4/08Pos 18 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%14/10Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 65%3/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.0%Ahead 3/4