13:10 · Newmarket

HKJC World Pool Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 4fGoing TBCClass 23YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market Fav3
OR 104
11/4
Evanesco silks

AMO Racing Limited

3yo Colt · 9-9 · Draw 4

Too Darn Hot - Golden Gazelle (Galileo)

Rowan Scott60%C Johnston
175315
5.0Class ↓1

Uncomplicated sort. Travelled well/tracked a true pace when landing the Silver Bell Handicap at Hamilton in August. Since posted another smart performance when 1¾-length fifth in a valuable big-field handicap at Leopardstown (13f), and he looks the class act in this field.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par3/0520/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par30/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par21/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par12/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%3/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 20%10/07Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%12/09
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-378/100
5
Value2
OR 91
15/2
Sportingsilvermine silks

Mr Gordon McDowall

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 5

Holy Roman Emperor - Praskovia (Manduro)

Marco Ghiani60%1/5James Owen
310260
5.0

Career best when doubling his tally for the year in the Old Newton Cup (1½m) on the July Course here. Still looked in top form prior to racing too keenly when switched to front-running tactics at Doncaster (1¼m) latest. Should be seen to much better effect off a likely strong pace here.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/064/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par21/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 87%12/06Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 21 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 5%11/07Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%21/08Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 9%12/09
Projected finish2nd of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
86%1-655/100
4
Top Pick1
OR 91
16/1
Arqoob silks

Little Staughton Farms Ltd

8yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 2

Estidhkaar - Via Ballycroy (Lawman)

J Mitchell60%1/1L Wadham60%
563117
7.0
Blinkers

Quirky sort has been a grand servant for connections. Overcame a pace bias to narrowly complete a July Course double (goes particularly well on that track) in August. Still in good form despite only beating one home in the Mallard latest. Likely vulnerable off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/0513/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par1/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par22/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par13/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 43%15/05Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%3/07Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 14%13/09
Projected finish3rd of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
71%1-655/100
6
4
OR 90
7/2
Primo Lara silks

Queensbury Racing & Partner

5yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 7

New Bay - Fact Or Folklore (Lope De Vega)

Saffie Osborne70%1/1Jane Chapple-Hyam
511413
7.0

Back to his best when making it 3 wins from 4 starts at Kempton last month. Turned in another solid effort when 4½-length third off this mark in a useful race at Newbury (13.5f) last time. Clearly in fine fettle and should give another good account with Saffie Osborne (1-1) returning.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/066/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par21/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par19/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 56%14/06Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%5/09Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%19/09
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
57%1-564/100
2
5
OR 96
4/1
Ernst Blofeld silks

Wathnan Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 1

Frankel - Quidura (Dubawi)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbH Al Jehani
417552
5.0Class ↓1

Quirky sort who recorded a second career win at Kempton in late-May. Remained in form in top-end handicaps since, aided by the run of the race when 1¼-length second in the Mallard at Doncaster (14.5f). Things unlikely to unfold as favourably back down in distance but good-value claimer takes over.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/0527/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par21/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par13/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%15/05Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%16/06Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 73%21/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%13/09
Projected finish5th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
43%1-472/100
3
6
OR 92
13/2
Tycoon silks

AMO Racing Limited

4yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 8

Kingman - Bufera (King's Best)

Rossa Ryan70%K P De Foy
303274
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Potentially well treated on the pick of his efforts this season, notably close third in a smart 9f handicap here in May. Shaped as if ready for this step back up in trip when 2¾-length fourth at Yarmouth (9f) last time. Forecast strong pace certainly favours this free-going 4-y-o, too.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/055/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par25/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par21/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par16/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 82%2/05Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%11/07Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%21/08Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 70%16/09
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
29%1-655/100
7
7
OR 88
10/1
Topteam silks

King Power Racing Co Ltd

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6

Oasis Dream - Countess De Vega (Lope De Vega)

Colin KeaneA M Balding80%
152076
3.0Going 8.0

Hit-and-miss front runner who resumed progress when successful on return at Kempton (1½m) in April. Beat a couple of today's rivals when runner-up over C&D the following month. Now 2 lb below that mark following a quieter spell and dangerous to dismiss if on a going day.

Class Advantage

6/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par6/0428/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par15/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par30/05 · C2 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par22/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%6/04Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%15/05Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%5/09Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 44%22/09
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
14%4-864/100
8
8
OR 84
10/1
Blue Hercules silks

Perspicacious Punters Racing Club

3yo Colt · 8-3 · Draw 3

Ghaiyyath - Sousmain (Shamardal)

K T O'Neill0/1W Muir & C Grassick
202523
6.0Going 8.0

Free-going maiden who often races prominently. Posted a couple of fairly useful efforts in Ascot handicaps earlier this summer. Overexuberance contributed to a 10-length defeat in Carlisle maiden (11f) latest, however, he's not out of this if consenting to settle back in handicap company.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a29/0518/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par8/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par27/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par9/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%29/05Pos 18 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 6%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 86%11/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 75%27/08Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 82%9/09
Projected finish8th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%2-845/100