18:16 · Southwell

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1)

6f 17yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 707/1
Ziggy's Condor silks

Power Geneva (equine) Ltd

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Havana Grey - Dolly Colman (Diamond Green)

James Doyle70%Adam Kirby60%
6450U3
5.0Class ↓3
Visor

C&D winner who was third of 8 in a handicap at Doncaster 5 days ago, just days after unseating rider at the start at Goodwood. Visor back on and can be competitive back at this venue.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par12/0326/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%12/03Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 77%20/04Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%14/06Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%1/08
Projected finish1st of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
3
OR 6510/3
Daytona Lady silks

Mr Eric Broadwith And Mrs Ruth Carr

6yo Mare · 9-4

Bungle Inthejungle - Roseau City (Cityscape)

J P Sullivan60%4/27Mrs R Carr60%
134267
5.0
Cheek pieces

In good order through the spring but form has tailed off last 2 starts and she's got a bit to prove now, not least given she's not always been the best starter anyway.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/045/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par1/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%21/04Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 70%21/05Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%8/06Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%6/07
Projected finish2nd of 10
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 666/1
Moostar silks

Ambrose Racing Club Ltd

4yo Filly · 9-5

Zoustar - Beldale Memory (Camacho)

S De Sousa60%0/2James Owen70%
223628
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Hard to win with but holds place claims on recent second of 11 at Wolverhampton and can have latest run ignored having not been seen to best effect over 7f in a change of headgear. Should bounce back to form with visor reapplied and dropped to 6f.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par5/0521/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par15/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%5/05Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 78%5/06Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 90%6/07Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 30%17/07
Projected finish3rd of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
Market Fav7
OR 635/2
Court Drive silks

Premier Thoroughbred Racing Ltd

5yo Mare · 9-2

Inns Of Court - Gwen Lady Byron (Dandy Man)

Jack Callan60%Miss Gay Kelleway60%
566134
5.0Class ↓4
Blinkers

Scored at Yarmouth in June and shaped as if still in good form when fourth of 7 at Lingfield 24 days ago, finishing well having been left poorly placed. Blinkers back on here and could be in the mix.

Class Advantage

7/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par7/022/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/03 · mark par5/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%7/02Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%5/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%20/06Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%13/07
Projected finish4th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Value2
OR 6722/1
Pickersgill silks

Platform Interior Solutions & Partners

4yo Filly · 9-6

Starspangledbanner - Ponty Acclaim (Acclamation)

A Mullen70%0/1I Jardine
175272
6.0

Good second of 12 in a handicap over C&D 10 days ago, picked off only by a rejuvenated stable-switcher and she looks set to run well once more if her free-going nature doesn't get the better of her.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par7/044/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par15/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%7/04Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%15/06Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%17/07Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 91%27/07
Projected finish5th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
8
OR 699/1
Miraculous silks

Ambrose Turnbull & John Cruces

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Too Darn Hot - Priceless (Exceed And Excel)

D Allan60%0/1T D Easterby
593578
3.0Class ↓3

Has tumbled down the weights and not seen to best effect when forced wide over 5f at Chester last time. Now drops markedly in grade and is one to take seriously back up to 6f and returned to all-weather.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/0523/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par18/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par3/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%16/05Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%13/06Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%3/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 30%25/07
Projected finish6th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 6720/1
Hectic silks

Mrs Ailsa Stirling

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Massaat - Ceedwell (Exceed And Excel)

J Garritty60%L Bailey60%
444075
4.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

C&D winner who underwent a breathing operation before returning in June. Just a respectable fifth of 11 in a handicap at Chester upped to 7f on latest start and needs more back at 6f and returned to all-weather here.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par6/0326/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par9/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%6/03Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%21/04Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 24%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%8/06Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%12/06
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
6
OR 6328/1
Showtime Mahomes silks

The Muffed Punt Partnership

7yo Gelding · 9-2

Dabirsim - Magic Florence (Zebedee)

Oliver Stammers60%1/16Grant Tuer
941640
4.0Class ↓3

Twice a winner over C&D, including in January, but only 11th of 12 in a handicap at Newcastle when last seen in February so has something to prove on return from 163 days off.

Class Advantage

5/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/12 · mark par5/1218/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/12 · mark par6/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par13/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/01 · mark par10/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par24/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/02 · mark par24/02projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%5/12Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%6/01Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%10/02Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 9%24/02
Projected finish8th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
10
OR 699/1
Cairdeas silks

Mr Colin Alton & Mr P T Midgley

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Sergei Prokofiev - Avengers Queen (Brazen Beau)

D Nolan0/4P T Midgley
602520
4.0Class ↓3

Has a hit-and-miss profile but better judged on penultimate effort when second of 5 at Nottingham in June than when getting no run here last month. Lightly raced on all-weather but has run well on the surface before so isn't discounted.

Class Advantage

25/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/0914/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par16/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 62%25/09Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 91%16/05Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 2 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 2 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 75%20/06Pos 12 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 12 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%27/07
Projected finish9th of 10
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
9
OR 6312/1
Ottawa silks

Foulrice Park Racing Limited

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Belardo - Riskit Fora Biskit (Kodiac)

D Tudhope60%L Bailey
761865
4.0

Won over C&D wearing cheekpieces and tongue strap in December for Joseph Parr but hasn't fired since and now returns from nearly 6 months off starting out for a new yard with all equipment removed so looks best watched.

Class Advantage

15/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/10 · mark par15/1030/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par18/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/12 · mark par13/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/01 · mark par26/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/01 · mark par14/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par14/02projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 40%15/10Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%18/12Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%26/01Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%14/02
Projected finish10th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend