16:13 · Punchestown

Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)

1m 1f 30yGood (Good to Yielding in places)3YO plusTURFHandicap13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
3
OR 5810/1
Nephin Mountain silks

Michael Mulvany

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Supremacy - Balqaa (Invasor)

Terry Casey60%1/4−7lbM Mulvany
516513
6.0

Has had a good summer, winning at Ballinrobe and Navan. Ran creditably again at latter track 10 days ago and worth considering while he's in this form.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/0720/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par2/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par5/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%17/07Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%2/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%5/09
Projected finish1st of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Value2
OR 585/1
Glamazon silks

Glamour & Glory Syndicate

3yo Filly · 9-8

Belardo - Zen Silence (Dragon Pulse)

Scott McCullagh0/1Mrs J Harrington90%
084930
3.0
1st Visor +2

Finally off the mark in first-time cheekpieces in maiden at Ballinrobe in May. Mixed record since, one of her lesser efforts at Cork a fortnight ago. New headgear on.

Class Advantage

24/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par24/054/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par15/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 9%24/05Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 42%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 79%3/07Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%14/08Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 13
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Market Fav4
OR 575/4
Believe Believe silks

Believe Believe Partnership

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Make Believe - Chiarezza (Fantastic Light)

Jamie Powell0/5M O'Callaghan
069082
4.0

Lightly-raced maiden who came close to justifying strong support upped in trip at Gowran (1m) on return in May. Not seen again since but clearly has races in him on that showing and goes off the same mark.

Class Advantage

31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/0828/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par27/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/10 · mark par5/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par5/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 17%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%31/08Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%4/10Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%27/10Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 92%5/05
Projected finish3rd of 13
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
15
Top Pick1
OR 5414/1
Keilah silks

Miss F M Carton

6yo Mare · 9-10

Harzand - Golden Lemon (Lemon Drop Kid)

Robert Whearty60%M M McNiff70%
32U700
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Has yet to threaten on the Flat or over hurdles for current yard (excuses at Navan last time) but has plummeted in the weights and her last/sole win came in a division of this handicap in 2024. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

29/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/083/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 50%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%29/08Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%12/05Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%12/08Pos 15 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 15 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 30%5/09
Projected finish4th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
6
OR 598/1
Tero D'rosa silks

Paddleyourowncanoe Syndicate

4yo Gelding · 10-1

Galileo Chrome - Esilly Rose (Vale Of York)

Shane Markey0/1−7lbR O'Sullivan
216646
3.0

Winner at Ballinrobe in May. Has run well over 1½m/11f the last twice while shaping as if it stretched him and the return to 9f will suit. One to note.

Class Advantage

19/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/11 · mark par19/118/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par12/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par12/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 50%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 92%19/11Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 64%12/05Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 70%12/07Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%23/08
Projected finish5th of 13
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
7
OR 426/1
Miss Americana silks

Painestown Syndicate

4yo Filly · 8-12

Sea The Moon - Swansdown (Dubawi)

Nathan CrosseC O'Brien
299273
5.0

Long-standing maiden but wasted no time getting back to form after 12 weeks off when third at Gowran (1m) a fortnight ago, staying on well. Good claims if building on that.

Class Advantage

9/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par9/0412/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par22/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par5/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par12/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par1/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 93%9/04Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 58%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%22/04Pos 2 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 2 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 93%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 54%12/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 87%1/09
Projected finish6th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 6010/1
Gloriously Glam silks

Lucky Fifteen Syndicate

4yo Filly · 10-2

Profitable - Abstain (Araafa)

James RyanC O'Connell60%
385209
3.0
Cheek pieces

Posted good second in 1m Bellewstown claimer in July on final run for Adrian McGuinness. Disappointing back in handicaps first 2 starts for new yard but her mark has come down.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par28/0512/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par19/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par3/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par1/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 67%28/05Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%19/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%1/08Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%1/09
Projected finish7th of 13
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
11
OR 5033/1
Dress Dance silks

K Lavery

4yo Filly · 9-6

Dandy Man - For Joy (Singspiel)

Rory ClearyS Lavery80%
50007
2.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Took a step forward in first-time cheekpieces/tongue strap after 4 months off when beaten only 3 lengths in steadily-run 1m Navan handicap a fortnight ago. Not out of things if building on that.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/0416/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 40%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%19/04Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 8%16/09Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 20%11/10Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 8%19/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%2/09
Projected finish8th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
12
9
OR 4220/1
Pinball Wizard silks

John C McConnell

8yo Gelding · 8-12

Dark Angel - Alsalwa (Nayef)

Siobhan Rutledge0/2J C McConnell70%
070708
2.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Yet to fire this season (well held again in first-time tongue tie last time) but lurks on a dangerous mark (last win in Britain off 64) and usually runs well when the cheekpieces go back on, as they do here.

Class Advantage

26/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/0914/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par7/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/11 · mark par1/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 14 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%26/09Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 15%7/11Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%2/07Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 53%2/09
Projected finish9th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
13
8
OR 4014/1
Autocrat silks

P Sweeney

6yo Gelding · 8-10

No Nay Never - Crystal Diamond (Teofilo)

Julian Pietropaolo−7lbP Sweeney80%
700098
2.0
Blinkers1st Tongue Strap +2

Scored at Dundalk in January but has struggled on turf more recently. Down markedly in trip here.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par20/033/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%20/03Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 31%Pos 16 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 16 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%15/05Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%20/07Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%4/09
Projected finish10th of 13
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
14
12
OR 4033/1
Peig Sayers silks

M J Ferris

5yo Mare · 8-10

Make Believe - Malea (Oratorio)

Jimmy Dalton−7lbMiss H McLoughlin
000800
2.0

Bit of promise in maidens but not much real encouragement in handicaps this season.

Class Advantage

21/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par21/1024/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par12/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par22/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 83%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 22 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%21/10Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 7%12/05Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 47%22/07Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%14/08
Projected finish11th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
16
10
OR 4750/1
De Songbird silks

John P McGovern

3yo Filly · 8-11

Cotai Glory - Shim Sham (Danehill Dancer)

Sadhbh Tormey0/5−7lbT G McCourt70%
607700
2.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Modest maiden who continues to make little impact in handicaps off much-reduced mark. Tongue strap goes on. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0415/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 83%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 38%27/04Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%4/06Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 26 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 26 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 4%22/08Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 30%5/09
Projected finish12th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
13
OR 5166/1
Mullacurry Maid silks

Donal Kinsella

4yo Filly · 9-7

Harzand - Indus Ridge (Indian Ridge)

Nicola Burns−5lbD Kinsella80%
089509
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Yet to make a real impact, well beaten again in handicap at Tramore (1½m) last month. Cheekpieces go on.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/1021/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 1m 1f 30y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 7%11/10Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 11%14/11Pos 5 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 24%9/07Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%15/08
Projected finish13th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend