15:35 · Wolverhampton

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

2m 120yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
2
OR 70
5/2
Kingdom Of Stars silks

Mr D E Edwards

5yo Gelding · 10-2

Cloth Of Stars - Passing Burg (Sageburg)

R Havlin60%0/2Kerry Lee
324853
4.0Class ↓3

Kempton winner (2m) for Tom Ward last summer. Underwhelming over hurdles for current yard but arrives on the back of a pair of solid efforts here last month, third of 7 in handicap (1¾m) on latter occasion. Not dismissed.

Class Advantage

22/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/0218/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par10/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par26/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 120y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%22/02Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%13/06Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%18/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%26/08
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.1%Ahead 3/4
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 67
6/4
Jack Langley silks

Sir Bob, Stowe Racing & Friends

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Time Test - Indira (Sleeping Indian)

Jack Callan60%1/2Charlie Clover60%
631224
6.0Going 10.0

Successful on the turf at Lingfield (13f) in June on second start for current yard. Has continued in good nick, not beaten far when fourth of 5 in handicap at Newmarket (1½m, good) last time. Player on his tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

27/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par27/0318/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 120y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%27/03Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%8/08Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%20/08
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.9%Ahead 1/4
3
4
OR 69
7/2
Fiefdom silks

Mr S P C Woods

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Profitable - Demesne (Dansili)

L Morris70%0/1S Woods60%
65404
3.0

Lightly-raced maiden. Sent off 50/1 but got back on track on his handicap debut with fourth of 7 at Southwell (1½m) up in distance 18 days ago. Needs to build on it over this even markedly longer trip.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/051/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 120y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%19/05Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 60%1/06Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%22/06Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 9%6/07Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 66
11/2
Last Trump silks

Whitsbury Xv

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Sir Percy - Diablerette (Green Desert)

D C CostelloM P Tregoning
5455
4.0Class ↓3

Sir Percy gelding shaped encouragingly when a debut fifth in 11f maiden at Newbury in April. Has failed to build on it though, including on his handicap bow when fifth of 6 at Lingfield (13f, all-weather) 30 days ago. Steps up even further in trip now switched to tapeta.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/043/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/059/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0622/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength88%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 120y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 43%18/04Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%3/05Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%9/06Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%22/08
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.3%Ahead 3/4
5
5
OR 49
20/1
Notable Charm silks

Whitsbury Xi

3yo Gelding · 8-2

Without Parole - Ballet Romance (Poet's Voice)

Tyler HeardM P Tregoning60%
964645
3.0Class ↓2
Blinkers

Modest maiden handicapper. Not disgraced in blinkers on his last 2 runs, fifth of 10 in handicap at Bath (1¾m, good) 19 days ago. Has his first go on tapeta and this even longer trip may suit.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/059/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 120y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 27%12/05Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%27/06Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%22/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%2/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 2/4