7

Mysticious

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 72

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

71%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f 12325/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 71 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 71 par22/08C6OR 71projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saratoga?6th6th0
2026-07-25Saratoga?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%

Delivery trend -45.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20262nd8/158%88%+0.30
22/08/20266th13/266%50%-0.16