14:15 · Worcester

FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 4fGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 109
11/10
Premier Tenor silks

Mr John J Reilly

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Ectot - Premiere Lili (Dunkerque)

Harry Skelton80%0/2D Skelton80%
32
8.0Going 8.0
HoodTongue strap

Landed 13f minor event sole start on the Flat in France in November. Promise amidst inexperience in a pair of 2m maiden hurdles here this season, again racing freely but keeping on for second when last seen in June. Remains capable of better as he goes up in trip.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/1022/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/0511/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%11/10Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 78%22/05Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%11/06
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 2/3
1
2
OR 108
3/1
Ade Boy silks

Swanee River Partnership

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Bullet Train - L'etoile Du Nord (Kutub)

J J Burke60%C E Longsdon60%
1634
5.0Going 7.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

11-length winner of a Navan bumper for A. Slattery on debut. Improved from hurdle/stable debut effort when third in maiden at Huntingdon (2m) in March, before failing to give his running at Market Rasen (21f). Worth another chance on return with tongue strap added.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/096/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/1211/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/035/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/04projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%20/09Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 62%6/12Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%11/03Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%5/04
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.0%Ahead 2/4
5
6
14/1
Action Replay silks

Mr John P McManus

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Vadamos - Avondhu Lady (Beneficial)

R P McLernon60%C E Longsdon
FP
5.0

Behind when falling in an Irish point in February and shaped as if amiss sent hurdling when pulled up in maiden at this course (2m) 15 days ago. Much-respected connections but has work to do up in trip.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish3rd of 975% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength26%
2
3
7/2
Black Eddy silks

Mr Martin Gowing & Mr David Jewers

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Frammassone - Cercie (Great Pretender)

James Bowen60%0/2M Bowen60%
105
4.0Class ↓3

Looked good prospect when winning a Chepstow bumper on debut, his only start for Toby Bulgin. However, tailed off in 2 races for current yard (had a breathing operation prior to latest). Needs to get back on track as he goes hurdling after further 6 months off.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/1019/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/125/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength63%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%12/10Pos 15 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 15 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%19/12Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 20%5/04
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -28.2%Ahead 1/3
6
5
12/1
Moi Mon Vieux silks

Stoneleigh Racing Lll

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Ivanhowe - Bayadere (Kapgarde)

Mr H Hunt60%−7lbR Hobson
24
5.0
Tongue strap

Runner-up twice from 3 starts in bumpers, over 1½m in France on debut. However, didn't see his race out upped to 2½m when fourth of 5 in novice at Perth on hurdles bow in July. Off 11 weeks since.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/052/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/0612/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 55%11/05Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%2/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%12/07
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.5%Ahead 1/3
9
8
33/1
Zerouali silks

Ben Lund Racing Club

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Top Trip - Lily Potts (Proclamation)

Shane Quinlan60%0/2B Lund
60
2.0

Well held only start in bumpers and fared no better sent hurdling when tenth of 13 in novice at Uttoxeter (2m) in July. Looks to face a tough ask now tried over further.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/0724/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 17%7/07Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 25%24/07
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.8%Ahead 2/2
8
4
100/1
Sir Vinnie Kent silks

Mr C R P Williams

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Vadamos - J'y Viens (Smadoun)

Jack Tudor60%Christian Williams
P
5.0

Ran green making his first start when pulled up in maiden hurdle at Uttoxeter (2½m) 10 days ago, tailed off 4 out. Looks one for the longer term.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish7th of 925% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
3
9
20/1
Emerald West silks

Clontyseer Racing Ltd

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Westerner - Risenshine (Scorpion)

James Turner0/1−5lbRyan Hatch
7
2.0

Shaped as if in need of the experience when seventh of 11 in bumper at Uttoxeter on debut in July. Goes up in trip for first start over hurdles.

Class Advantage

15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/07
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%15/07
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.2%Ahead 1/1
4
7
66/1
Georgemani silks

David Purvis & Mike Richmond

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Order Of St George - Tasmani (Turgeon)

C J ToddDavid Dennis70%
5PP
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Has gone with little promise in 2 starts over hurdles, again pulled up in maiden at Hereford (2½m) in April. Returns with tongue strap fitted.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish9th of 90% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%