22:00 · Churchill Downs

Race 3 - Allowance

1m 110yGoing TBC3YO onlyTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 99
3/1
Spin A Tune silks

Godolphin, Llc

3yo Filly · 8-8

Hard Spun - Desert Tune (Street Cry)

Jaime Torres60%2/3Eoin Harty
311
9.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a1/0818/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/0722/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%1/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.2%Ahead 2/3
5
Market Fav2
OR 100
8/5
Dagmara silks

Don Alberto Stable

3yo Filly · 8-6

Omaha Beach - Dynarama (Dynaformer)

Luan Machado1/3B Cox60%
213717
5.0

Class Advantage

31/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/01 · mark par31/0128/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par18/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par7/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 91%31/01Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%18/04Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 14%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.5%Ahead 1/4
4
5
OR 96
10/1
Essential Lady silks

Ranlo Investments Llc

3yo Filly · 8-6

Essential Quality - Lady Shipman (Midshipman)

Axel ConcepcionJonathan Thomas
545171
6.0

Class Advantage

26/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a26/0928/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par12/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/01 · mark par22/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/02 · mark par15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par27/06 · C10 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%26/09Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%12/01Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%15/05Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%27/06
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.5%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 91
6/1
Shilling silks

Fern Circle Stables

3yo Filly · 8-6

Global Campaign - Pounds To Pennies (Exchange Rate)

Emmanuel Esquivel60%0/3Kenneth McPeek60%
443443
5.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

16/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/10 · mark par16/106/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/11 · mark par6/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par7/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par1/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%16/10Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 40%6/02Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%1/08Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%27/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.9%Ahead 2/4
6
3
OR 96
5/2
Struck At Midnight silks

Foster, Randall, Nestor, Matthew, Rachiele, Sam And Kpr Four Stables, Llc

3yo Filly · 8-6

Bolt D'oro - Midnight On Oconee (Midnight Lute)

Jose Ortiz60%0/3Joe Sharp
721174
6.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

22/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/10 · mark par22/1029/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/11 · mark par26/12 · C7 · finish vs mark above26/12 · mark par31/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/01 · mark par7/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par6/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%22/10Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%26/12Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 14%7/03Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%6/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.5%Ahead 3/4
1
6
OR 85
8/1
Amazing Lady silks

Sentel, Ken And Scherer, Marianne

3yo Filly · 8-6

Tonalist - Cold Desert (Pleasantly Perfect)

Luis Saez60%Marianne Scherer
174334
5.0

Class Advantage

9/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/01 · mark par9/0127/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par20/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par8/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par6/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%9/01Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%20/03Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%8/08Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 73%6/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.8%Ahead 3/4