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21:00 · Churchill Downs

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming

1m 110y3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 61
4/1
Bullet Baby silks

La Familia (radcliffe), Smith, James T , Smith, Reed And Radcliffe, Jr , Robert

Bullet Baby

4yo Filly · 8-12

Copper Bullet - Pulled The Goalie (Parading)

Rafael Bejarano60%Robert Radcliffe
792642
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

19/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/12 · mark par19/1222/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par12/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par9/11 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/11 · mark par17/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par24/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 10%19/12Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 11%12/07Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%17/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%24/07
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 3/4
5
Top Pick1
OR 84
7/2
Prosecco Gal silks

Bal Mar Equine, Llc

Prosecco Gal

3yo Filly · 8-8

American Pharoah - Prose (Galileo)

Axel Concepcion0/2Albert Stall
80
2.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

15/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0524/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par24/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 30%15/05Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%24/06
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.8%Ahead 0/2
3
4
OR 51
8/1
Betty Who silks

Jjbe Stable

Betty Who

4yo Filly · 8-12

Wildcat Red - Pure Imagination (Oxbow)

Luis Hernandez60%0/1Ramon Salcedo
433524
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

5/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/01 · mark par5/0112/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par3/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/03 · mark par17/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/03 · mark par7/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par26/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength93%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%5/01Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%3/03Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%7/04Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%26/04
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.4%Ahead 1/4
6
5
OR 53
6/1
Motown Sound silks

Dundalk 5 Llc And Wesley F Herek Racing Stable, Llc

Motown Sound

3yo Filly · 8-8

Mo Town - Simple As That (Langfuhr)

William Iii Antongeorgi60%0/3Hutch Holsapple
658753
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

28/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/0926/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/10 · mark par30/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par24/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par17/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par24/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%28/09Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%30/04Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%17/06Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%24/07
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.2%Ahead 3/4
4
Market Fav3
OR 56
9/5
Flashy Aviator silks

Special Aviators Llc

Flashy Aviator

3yo Filly · 8-8

Dialed In - Cahoots (Giant's Causeway)

Luis Saez60%Rohan Crichton
43
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

26/04 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a26/0429/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%26/04Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%29/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -28.9%Ahead 0/2
1
6
OR 43
3/1
Deceiving Diva silks

Late Night Stables LLC

Deceiving Diva

3yo Filly · 8-8

Charlatan - Serenading (A.p. Indy)

Edgar Morales60%Kinnon Larose
5
2.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

26/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%26/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -88.2%Ahead 0/1