15:52 · Listowel

Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Chase

2m 6fGoing TBC4YO plusTURF13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Top Pick1
14/1
Our Soldier silks

Denis O'Brien

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Soldier Of Fortune - Bell Walks Day (Flemensfirth)

Mr H C Swan60%1/2D Hogan60%
339211
9.0Going 8.0

Defied a rise of 8 lb for Wexford to further his excellent start in handicap hurdles in 15-runner event at Bellewstown in July 2025 (when trained by E. J. O'Grady). Type to make a chaser but he'll find easier openings than this.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/1224/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par17/05 · C10 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par5/07 · C11 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%26/12Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%20/03Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%17/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%5/07
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.0%Ahead 4/4
6
5
5/1
Largy Hill silks

Simon Munir & Isaac Souede

9yo Gelding · 11-12

Flemensfirth - Rowansgift (Dr Massini)

J J Slevin60%W P Mullins70%
173211
9.0

Made it 2-3 over hurdles when a scoring from Staffordshire Knot in Michael Purcell Memorial Novices' Hurdle at Thurles (20.8f, soft) in February 2024. Another one returning from a lengthy absence for this yard and market check required on chasing debut (third sole outing in points).

Class Advantage

27/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/124/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a18/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/02 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a22/02projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%27/12Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%12/03Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%6/01Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%22/02
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.6%Ahead 3/4
7
3
9/2
Love Me Tender silks

John P McManus

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Doctor Dino - Ex Fan Des Sixties (Poliglote)

Harry Cobden70%0/1W P Mullins70%
133454
4.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Highly impressive when making it 3-3 in Grade 3 at Tipperary in October 2025. Progress has rather stalled in better company since and failed to meet market expectations sent chasing after 3 months off when fourth at Galway recently. Back up in trip and seems sure to improve for that experience.

Class Advantage

5/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a5/1027/12 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a2/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par5/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par29/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par28/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%5/10Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%2/02Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 69%29/04Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 67%28/07
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.7%Ahead 1/4
12
6
OR 128
7/1
Will Do silks

Gigginstown House Stud

9yo Gelding · 11-12

Walk In The Park - Alleygrove Lass (Alderbrook)

Jack Kennedy60%2/10G Elliott60%
20P0PP
3.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Long-standing maiden over fences and looks to have lost his way in terms of both ability and attitude. Returns after 5 months off.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par21/0419/10 · C1 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par16/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par30/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/11 · mark par27/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par10/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par10/03projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 69%21/04Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 39%16/11Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 18 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 18 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 37%27/12Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%10/03
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.6%Ahead 2/4
10
8
6/1
Tackletommywoowoo silks

Gwanyaboya Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Elusive Pimpernel - Blackberry Lass (King's Theatre)

Sean Flanagan60%P Nolan
161170
4.0Going 8.0

Progressed well during second half of last year, gaining a third hurdles success in listed company at Cork (3m) in November. Stiff task when tailed off in a couple of Grade 1s earlier in the year and has moved yards ahead of this return/chasing debut (bred for this discipline).

Class Advantage

24/07 · C10 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/0724/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par12/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par2/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/11 · mark par2/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par13/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par13/03projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 58%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%12/10Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%2/02Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 57%13/03
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.4%Ahead 4/4
4
Market Fav2
7/2
I Will Be Baie silks

Roaringwater Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Crillon - Passion Du Berlais (Poliglote)

Paul Townend70%1/1W P Mullins70%
1D1215
6.0Going 8.0

Point winner who showed useful form in bumpers and quickly proved himself as good over hurdles with an impressive display at Fairyhouse (20.6f, heavy) on New Year's Day 2024. Not so good upped to Grade 1 level the following month and off since ahead of this chasing debut.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/063/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a23/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/02 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a3/02projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%10/06Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%3/08Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 80%23/09Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%1/01Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%3/02
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.1%Ahead 2/4
5
4
5/1
Jarrive De Mee silks

Aisling Byrne & Matthew Cunningham & Paul Raleigh

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Authorized - Capelle De Mee (Great Pretender)

Brian Hayes60%W P Mullins70%
111146
5.0Going 7.0

Authorized gelding who made light work of a double penalty over hurdles to make it 3-3 in 4-runner Haydock novice (15.6f) in March 2025. Good fourth upped in grade at Punchestown Festival the following month and then offered something on chase bow at Galway that summer. Off since.

Class Advantage

21/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/1122/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par1/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%21/11Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%22/01Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%19/03Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%30/04Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%1/08
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 2/4
3
7
8/1
Fort Dino silks

Duncan Angove

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Doctor Dino - Scarletts Fortune (Soldier Of Fortune)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%0/1H De Bromhead60%
4182
6.0
Tongue strap

Ex-French recruit who won juvenile hurdle at Auteuil (17f, soft) last May for Hugo Merienne. Tongue tied and went with little promise on yard debut but shaped encouragingly sent chasing after 4 months off when second of 6 at Killarney (23f, good to soft) 5 weeks ago. Better to come.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/0531/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/0530/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0420/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 77%1/05Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%31/05Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 30%30/04Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%20/08
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.7%Ahead 3/4
9
10
25/1
Rattledelatch silks

John Joseph Flynn & Conor Lannen & Mrs Miriam Queally

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Jet Away - Nia (Beneficial)

Ian Power60%0/1J Queally
P09602
4.0

No better than poor form in a bumper/4 outings over hurdles but much improved sent chasing when second of 9 at Tramore (2¾m, good) 6 weeks ago. Stiff task here.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/0530/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par13/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 25%1/05Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%30/05Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 78%6/06Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 21%16/07Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 88%13/08
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +55.1%Ahead 4/4
2
9
8/1
Chanceawetmorning silks

Conor McGlone

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Snow Sky - Jim's Article (Definite Article)

Danny Gilligan60%G Elliott
31934F
5.0

Gained a third hurdling win of 2026 at Roscommon in June and was set to make a winning start over fences when crashing out at the last at Kilbeggan (3m, good to soft) just under 3 weeks ago. Could well make amends here but this looks a hot race.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C11 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/0530/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par8/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par14/06 · C13 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par9/08 · C13 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par26/08 · C13 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%14/05Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%8/06Pos 9 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 9 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 11%Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 50%9/08Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 70%26/08
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.2%Ahead 1/4
13
11
150/1
Ellens Pride silks

Finns Racing Syndicate

6yo Mare · 11-5

Berkshire - Mystical (Dragon Pulse)

Phillip Enright60%0/2S Curling90%
04P764
4.0
1st Blinkers +31st Tongue Strap +2

Point winner but modest form at best over hurdles and remote sixth on recent Tramore chase debut. Ran best race to date in first-time blinkers/tongue tie when fourth of 12 in maiden hurdle at Wexford (3m) 12 days later and quickly reverts to fences.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0826/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par16/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 38%15/08Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 70%9/06Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 17%16/08Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 73%28/08
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.3%Ahead 3/4
11
12
OR 75
200/1
Three County Star silks

John P Coleman & M J Caffrey

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Shirocco - The Conker Club (Beneficial)

Calum Hogan60%0/3−5lbB Mortell60%
056P96
2.0
Cheek pieces

Unplaced on all 14 starts under Rules now and is a huge outsider in this company.

Class Advantage

6/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par6/0410/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par15/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 67%6/04Pos 13 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 13 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%5/06Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 38%10/08Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 58%28/08
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.1%Ahead 3/4
1
13
250/1
Barton Sky silks

Thomas Hutton

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Snow Sky - Academy Rose (Oscar)

Harry Sexton0/1−7lbJ J Hanlon
P2P507
2.0
Tongue strap

Winning pointer but tailed off in 2 maiden hurdles and a beginners chase back under Rules for Shark Hanlon in recent weeks.

Class Advantage

29/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/1224/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/0710/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/0831/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 67%29/12Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%24/07Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 15%10/08Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%31/08
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.6%Ahead 2/4