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23:28 · Churchill Downs

Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming

1m 1fGoing TBC3YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
3
OR 105
9/2
Baby Max silks

J S Stables Llc

Baby Max

4yo Colt · 8-10

Maximus Mischief - Lemon Gal (Lemon Drop Kid)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Kelsey Danner60%
252326
6.0Class ↓5Going 8.0

Class Advantage

12/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par12/0318/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par12/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par30/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 88%12/03Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 89%15/05Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%11/07Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%30/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.8%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 111
7/2
Pierre silks

Lawrence Roman

Pierre

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Tapiture - Archerette (Arch)

Luis Saez60%David Jacobson60%
351125
6.0Class ↓5Going 8.0

Class Advantage

31/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/01 · mark par31/017/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par2/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par12/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%31/01Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%27/08Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%12/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 4/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 109
8/1
Green Light silks

Peter E Blum Thoroughbreds Llc

Green Light

5yo Horse · 8-10

Hard Spun - Electric (Smart Strike)

Luan Machado1/2J Ennis60%
117672
6.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

9/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par9/1020/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par2/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par18/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par18/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/02 · mark par18/02projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%9/10Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%2/08Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%18/10Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%18/02
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.1%Ahead 1/4
5
2
OR 99
10/1
Covert Law silks

Dream Big Racing, Llc

Covert Law

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Tiz The Law - Secret Charm (Green Desert)

Axel ConcepcionJohn Ortiz60%
152211
10.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

12/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/065/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par3/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par22/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 91%29/07Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%14/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.7%Ahead 4/4
3
Market Fav6
OR 106
9/5
Johny's Rendezvous silks

Rigney Racing Llc

Johny's Rendezvous

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Ghostzapper - Romantic Intention (Suave)

Jose Ortiz60%1/1Philip Bauer60%
176615
5.0

Class Advantage

30/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/11 · mark par30/114/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par29/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par24/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par2/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%30/11Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%29/04Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 64%2/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.3%Ahead 3/4
7
4
OR 106
15/1
Versus silks

Screen Door Stables Llc

Versus

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Tiz The Law - Evita's Sister (Candy Ride)

Francisco ArrietaKelly Breen60%
353714
6.0Class ↓5Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par27/091/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par23/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par30/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%27/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%23/04Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%14/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.5%Ahead 2/4
2
7
OR 105
3/1
Yinzer silks

West Point Thoroughbreds, Cj Stables And Lane's End, Llc

Yinzer

4yo Colt · 8-10

Twirling Candy - Rehearsed (Tapit)

Keith Asmussen2/6Steven Asmussen60%
263D13
7.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

2/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/0810/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par8/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par27/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%2/08Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%8/10Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%11/07Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 60%27/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.0%Ahead 3/4