17:15 · Newcastle

United Infrastructure EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f 14yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyALLWEATHER13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
3
16/1
Seadreamin silks

Mr K Macpherson & Partner,

2yo Colt · 9-4

Aclaim - Saltwater (Fountain Of Youth)

Cam Hardie70%0/1R A Fahey80%
07
2.0

Twice-raced maiden. 125/1, still green but showed more when seventh of 10 in novice at Wolverhampton (6f) 10 days ago. Needs this for a mark.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/0815/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%22/08Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 33%15/09
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.7%Ahead 1/2
13
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 69
7/4
Arenite silks

G H Thompson And Michael Dods

2yo Filly · 8-13

Kameko - Havana Bound (Havana Gold)

Sean Kirrane60%M Dods
223
7.0Going 9.0

Has been placed all 3 starts to date, latest below expectations when 4¾ lengths third of 8 to Travellers Girl in maiden at Ripon (6f, good to soft, evens) 25 days ago. Is expected to stay this longer trip and should be thereabouts again.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/051/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/0831/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 93%18/05Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 91%1/08Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 71%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.7%Ahead 2/3
6
4
6/1
Dreamed silks

E J Desire & Partners

2yo Colt · 9-4

Sergei Prokofiev - Dare To Dream (Exceed And Excel)

P J McDonaldJames Horton
4
4.0Going 8.0

12,000 gns yearling, Sergei Prokofiev colt. Gambled on and showed ability amidst greenness when 4 lengths fourth of 12 to Tredegar Square in maiden at Kempton (7f, 11/4) on debut in August. Should do better with that behind him following a breathing operation.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 73%10/08
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.8%Ahead 0/1
12
Value2
OR 68
5/1
Top Cote silks

Broderick, Everist And Matthews

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Cotai Glory - Amber Kite (New Bay)

A Mullen70%Jack Morland60%
2347
5.0Class ↓2Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Made frame first 3 starts in the spring. Off 3 months, 15/2, possibly needed run when seventh of 10 in novice at Yarmouth (7f, good) 26 days ago. Place claims making all-weather debut.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/044/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0518/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0530/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 91%25/04Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 78%4/05Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%18/05Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%30/08
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.4%Ahead 2/4
1
8
13/2
Alberich silks

O T I Racing

2yo Colt · 9-7

Ghaiyyath - Flying Fairies (Holy Roman Emperor)

Jack Callan60%Harry Eustace
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled February 16. €25,000 yearling, €35,000 2-y-o, Ghaiyyath colt. Dam 7f-11.5f winner. Makes appeal on paper though market probably best guide on debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish5th of 1367% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength66%
7
12
8/1
Hidden Army silks

The Kew Partnership

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Invincible Army - Hidden Steps (Footstepsinthesand)

Harry Russell0/1Ollie Pears
5
2.0

€7,000 yearling. Invincible Army gelding. 22/1, showed some ability when fifth of 11 in seller at Redcar (7f, good) on debut in August, hanging left under pressure.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 60%22/08
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +60.0%Ahead 1/1
2
5
25/1
Comeonfeelthenoise silks

Mr Dave Stone

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Cotai Glory - Rianoon (Kodiac)

George Wood60%Harry Eustace
9
2.0Going 8.0

€26,000 foal, €32,000 yearling, Cotai Glory gelding. Showed little when beating only a sole rival in novice at Wolverhampton (6f) on debut in June. Best watched.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/06
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 11%16/06
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -41.5%Ahead 0/1
3
7
16/1
Showcasing Glory silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

2yo Colt · 9-7

Showcasing - Pilates (Shamardal)

Rowan Scott60%0/1C Johnston
7
2.0

30,000 gns yearling. Showcasing colt. Very green when seventh of 9 in maiden (10/1) at Musselburgh (7f, good to firm) on debut 13 days ago. May need more time.

Class Advantage

12/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%12/09
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.4%Ahead 0/1
11
10
16/1
So Farhh silks

Habton Racing

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Wells Farhh Go - Roys Dream (Monsieur Bond)

D Fentiman60%T D Easterby
6
2.0

3,000 gns yearling, Wells Farhh Go gelding. 50/1, sixth of 9 in maiden at Musselburgh (7f, good to firm) on debut 13 days ago. Looks one for the longer term.

Class Advantage

12/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%12/09
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.5%Ahead 1/1
9
6
50/1
Pushing The Limits silks

Burma Bloodstock

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Lope Y Fernandez - Angel Of The South (Dark Angel)

C J Whiteley60%−5lbS Hanlon
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled April 14. 9,000 gns yearling, Lope Y Fernandez gelding. Half-brother to Italian 5f-7f winner Sioux Sweet and 5f winner Forager. Dam 5f/6f winner. Bred to be quick and the betting should guide debut expectations.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish10th of 1325% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
4
11
50/1
Veloxian silks

The Gathering And Partner

2yo Colt · 9-7

Supremacy - Lady Hanson (Galileo)

Oliver Stammers0/1Grant Tuer
8
2.0

€30,000 yearling, Supremacy colt. 50/1, eighth of 9 in maiden at Musselburgh (7f, good to firm) on debut 13 days ago. Probably one for the longer term.

Class Advantage

12/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%12/09
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 1/1
8
9
20/1
Lion's Den silks

Denton Hall Racing Ltd

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Rajasinghe - Intoxicated (Fountain Of Youth)

Mark WinnM Dods
No form3.0

Foaled February 19. 18,000 gns yearling, Rajasinghe gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to useful 5f/6f winner Queen Jo Jo. Makes some appeal on pedigree and worth a market check.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish12th of 138% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
5
13
20/1
Binksy Boy silks

Mr James Binks

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Soldier's Call - Moss Top (Moss Vale)

P Mulrennan60%Phillip Makin
No form3.0

Foaled April 25. €8,500 foal, €8,000 yearling, Soldier's Call gelding. Half-brother to 6f-1m winner Caustic Love and useful 5f/6f winner Sir Titus. Dam sprint maiden half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6f winner Crown Dependency. A cheap purchase and yard not noted for debut winners.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish13th of 130% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%