15:17 · Listowel

Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle

2m 4fGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap21 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
5
OR 114
11/2
In For The Night silks

John P McManus

8yo Gelding · 11-6

Champs Elysees - Coolnasmear (Flemensfirth)

Harry Cobden70%C O'Dwyer
000871
5.0

Bounced back to his best on just his second start for the yard when winning 10-runner handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f, good) in July, soon clear having jumped on at the last. A 9 lb rise makes like tougher, though Harry Cobden taking over in the saddle can only be viewed as a positive.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par30/048/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par20/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par11/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par5/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par24/07 · C11 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 19 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%30/04Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%20/09Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 60%5/06Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%24/07
Projected finish1st of 21100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.3%Ahead 3/4
6
Top Pick1
OR 114
5/1
First Ascent silks

A M Egan & R Stokes

5yo Gelding · 11-6

Blue Point - Zibelina (Dansili)

James Smith60%−5lbG Elliott70%
P54231
8.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Continued a theme of run-to-run progression in maiden hurdles when winning 11-runner event at Kilbeggan by 14 lengths from Blue Johnl. Open to improvement now tackling a handicap, with the step up in trip expected to suit. One to consider.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/0812/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 24%2/08Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%21/07Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%21/08Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 2195% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.5%Ahead 1/4
10
6
OR 113
6/1
Killowen House silks

Patrick J Moore

6yo Gelding · 11-5

Yeats - The Last Bank (Phardante)

Danny Gilligan60%P J Gilligan
137342
6.0Going 7.0

Successful on fifth attempt in points. Seems to be getting the hang of things over hurdles, too, producing his best effort when ½-length second of 7 to Down Around at Ballinrobe last time. The drop back in trip on this sharp track is a concern, however.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/059/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par10/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 71%10/05Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%9/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%6/07Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 84%29/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%10/08
Projected finish3rd of 2190% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.7%Ahead 3/4
19
11
OR 107
15/2
Ripsnorter silks

Hugh Laing

5yo Gelding · 10-13

Australia - Andastra (Kamsin)

Reserve 1W J Lanigan60%
107681
5.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Bumper winner who left previous hurdling efforts well behind when winning 11-runner handicap at Downpatrick last month by 7 lengths from Granlahan. Up 8 lb but bigger concern is the step up in trip given his free-going nature. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

5/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/0827/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par31/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%5/08Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 57%30/05Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 46%10/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish4th of 2185% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +43.2%Ahead 4/4
9
Value2
OR 114
33/1
Reiki Revolution silks

James F Dunne

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Wings Of Eagles - Presenting Gems (Presenting)

Keith Donoghue60%1/3G P Cromwell80%
P4UU49
5.0Going 8.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Made a winning start for Gavin Cromwell in 2½m Punchestown maiden last October. Hasn't convinced as a chaser this season and hardly shaped with much encouragement back over hurdles last time.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/0722/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par14/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par20/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/12 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%25/07Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%14/10Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%30/06Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 53%2/08
Projected finish5th of 2180% of fieldRange 16-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.7%Ahead 3/4
13
9
OR 110
15/2
Moylussa silks

Seamus McKeogh

7yo Gelding · 11-2

Jukebox Jury - Ballycorrigan (Flemensfirth)

Donagh Meyler0/1M Magnussen60%
647332
7.0
Cheek pieces

Only has one win over hurdles but ran up to his very best when 4½ lengths second of 10 to Autumn Twist at Killarney in August. Further progress needed to defy current mark, though.

Class Advantage

3/02 · C11 · finish vs mark below3/02 · mark par3/0219/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par28/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par26/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par8/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par20/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 44%3/02Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 74%28/04Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 85%8/06Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%20/08
Projected finish6th of 2175% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.0%Ahead 4/4
21
3
OR 106
33/1
Mags Nelson silks

Rathmoy Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 10-12

Mount Nelson - Howareyabelle (Sir Percy)

Reserve 3R O'Sullivan
513183
6.0Going 8.0

Won handicaps at Tramore and Roscommon last season. Not seen since finishing 19¼ lengths third of 10 to Quantum Quest at Roscommon a year ago, though, and likely to find this test too sharp. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par10/0530/05 · C10 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par10/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par5/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par23/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par29/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par29/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%10/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%10/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%23/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%29/09
Projected finish7th of 2170% of fieldRange 21-21 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 3/4
3
10
OR 119
16/1
No Looking Back silks

Keep The Faith Bloodstock Limited

8yo Gelding · 11-11

Kingston Hill - Holy Vow (Luso)

Phillip Enright60%2/14O McKiernan80%
P04307
3.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

One-time useful hurdler who ran one of his better recent races despite not being seen to best effect when 8 lengths seventh of 20 to Fiveonefive at Galway last month. Back up in trip here.

Class Advantage

9/03 · C13 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par9/0331/12 · C12 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par2/03 · C12 · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par5/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par1/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 13 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%9/03Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%2/03Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 44%2/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 68%1/08
Projected finish8th of 2165% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +51.0%Ahead 4/4
15
Market Fav14
OR 108
3/1
Mart Lane silks

Barry Connell

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Awtaad - Lolwah (Pivotal)

Mr F Maguire60%0/6B Connell
952482
6.0
Tongue strap

Resumed progress when ½-length second of 20 to Inthenickoftime in handicap at Galway 17 days ago. Remains of interest from 4 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage

30/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/115/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par27/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par7/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%30/11Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 92%17/03Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 63%27/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 95%7/09
Projected finish9th of 2160% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.8%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 122
12/1
Carrigg Island silks

Matthew B O'Connor & Ciaran O'Connor & Mossie O'Connor

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Papal Bull - Ardkilly Vixen (Definite Article)

Thomas O'Connor60%−7lbE McCarthy
152553
4.0Going 8.0
Hood

Showed fairly useful form over hurdles last season, winning maiden at Limerick on debut and then later finishing third of 6 to Shadow Paddy in listed novice there on final outing. Makes handicap debut after 11 months off, but yard tend to target this meeting and well worth a market check.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/0412/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par27/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par18/10 · C1 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par18/10projClass-projected finish: 14th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 100%10/04Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%6/06Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%27/09Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%18/10
Projected finish10th of 2155% of fieldRange 11-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.0%Ahead 2/4
11
13
OR 111
10/1
Chutzpal silks

Pimlico Racing Ireland & R Dooly

7yo Gelding · 11-3

Markaz - Bridgets Fable (Champs Elysees)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%H De Bromhead80%
681130
4.0
Blinkers

Completed a cross-code hat-trick over the summer, the last 2 wins coming in handicap hurdles. Has been given a chance by the assessor but little encouragement to be gleaned from recent starts on the Flat.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/0820/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par21/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 24 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%24/05Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 38%6/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%21/08
Projected finish11th of 2150% of fieldRange 4-19 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.4%Ahead 1/4
14
12
OR 109
16/1
Cozone silks

Debbie Kelly

9yo Gelding · 11-1

Pour Moi - Bella Nouf (Dansili)

Sam EwingM J Smith60%
816315
5.0
BlinkersTongue strap

Took advantage of a much-reduced mark in a 14-runner event at Downpatrick in March and again won there in June. Shaped as if needing the outing last time and likely needs to improve if he's to defy a revised rating.

Class Advantage

29/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par29/0312/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par28/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par13/06 · C10 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par31/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par4/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 21
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%29/03Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 72%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%28/05Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 56%31/08Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 42%4/09
Projected finish12th of 2145% of fieldRange 10-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.2%Ahead 3/4
5
7
OR 116
100/1
Lisnagar Fortune silks

Lisnagar Fortune Partnership

8yo Gelding · 11-8

Soldier Of Fortune - Asta Belle (Astarabad)

Josh Williamson60%J C McConnell
63878P
3.0Going 8.0

One-time fairly useful hurdler/chaser for Willie Mullins who has made no impact in 3 outings for current connections.

Class Advantage

3/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/034/04 · C13 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par8/06 · C13 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par14/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par8/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par8/06projClass-projected finish: 21st of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%3/03Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 88%2/05Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%14/02Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%8/06
Projected finish13th of 2140% of fieldRange 16-21 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.3%Ahead 1/4
16
15
OR 108
10/1
Pakens Rock silks

Raymond Healy

13yo Gelding · 11-0

Central Park - Katchup (Taipan)

Niall Moore60%−5lbD Duggan
613774
4.0

Won over hurdles at Kilbeggan in April 2025 but has largely struggled over fences since, including on debut for current yard last October. Absent since and well into the veteran stage.

Class Advantage

11/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par11/0424/04 · C11 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par26/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par16/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par25/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par5/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par5/10projClass-projected finish: 15th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%11/04Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%26/05Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 14%25/07Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%5/10
Projected finish14th of 2135% of fieldRange 6-21 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.4%Ahead 1/4
17
20
OR 108
12/1
Tiger Twins silks

Sean Maguire

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Vadamos - That's My Robin (Robin Des Champs)

Daniel King60%0/1E McCarthy
75405F
3.0
Tongue strap

Fair form across 3 maiden hurdles, in first-time tongue strap when fifth of 12 at Killarney (2½m, good to soft) on latest in May. Open to improvement now tackling handicap company. Engaged 3.40 Listowel Wednesday.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/091/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/05projClass-projected finish: 12th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%27/09Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 64%1/11Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 79%29/12Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%5/04Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 64%11/05
Projected finish15th of 2130% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.5%Ahead 2/4
8
8
OR 114
25/1
Kevin's Pride silks

Claire Wylie & Tracey Wylie

7yo Gelding · 11-6

Mount Nelson - Aasleagh Lady (Presenting)

J J Slevin60%1/4J C McConnell60%
214546
3.0Going 8.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Fair hurdler and ran to a similar level on second time of asking over fences when fourth of 6 in maiden at Kilbeggan (25f, good) in July. Ran poorly in first-time blinkers last time and now reverts to the smaller obstacles for handicap debut with headgear discarded.

Class Advantage

23/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par23/0412/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par17/03 · C12 · finish vs mark below17/03 · mark par4/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par10/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par31/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 18th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 89%23/04Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%17/03Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%10/07Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 17%31/08
Projected finish16th of 2125% of fieldRange 21-21 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -55.6%Ahead 0/4
2
19
OR 120
33/1
Slurricane silks

Manifold & Fahy Partnership

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Kodiac - Sheikhakan (Shamardal)

Shane O'Callaghan60%R O'Sullivan60%
730907
2.0
Cheek pieces

Proving far more miss than hit at present, fourteenth of 20 in handicap at Galway (17f, good to soft) on return and then last of 7 in maiden chase at Ballinrobe last time. On a good mark on pick of his efforts but needs to bounce back now reverting to hurdles with cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par8/0412/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par1/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par24/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a24/08projClass-projected finish: 20th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%8/04Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 29%19/06Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 61%Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 32%1/08Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%24/08
Projected finish17th of 2120% of fieldRange 11-21 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.2%Ahead 2/4
4
21
OR 118
66/1
Ehteyat silks

M K Flannery

7yo Gelding · 11-10

Toronado - Ella Ransom (Ransom O'war)

Tom Kelly0/1−7lbM K Flannery60%
3230P0
3.0
Blinkers

Placed 3 times in maiden hurdles last season but bled at Down Royal in May and hasn't shown much either on the Flat or in this sphere since. Blinkers on for first time over hurdles.

Class Advantage

11/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/02 · mark par11/022/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/04 · C2 · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par11/09 · C12 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 19th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%11/02Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 89%17/03Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%20/08Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 15%11/09
Projected finish18th of 2115% of fieldRange 8-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.3%Ahead 3/4
12
16
OR 110
20/1
Boston Rajj silks

Barry Davis

8yo Gelding · 11-2

Rajj - Letitia Rea (Footstepsinthesand)

Gearoid Brouder−5lbIan O'Connor
353457
2.0

Handicap hurdle winner at Sligo last summer. Showed aptitude when only mid-division in maiden chase at Kilbeggan last time, should be up to speed now and reverts to hurdling off handy mark for new yard.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/077/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par19/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par25/09 · C2 · finish vs mark below25/09 · mark par7/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/10 · mark par31/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/05projClass-projected finish: 17th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 86%17/07Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%19/09Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%7/10Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%31/05
Projected finish19th of 2110% of fieldRange 12-21 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.1%Ahead 2/4
18
17
OR 107
25/1
Hello Jack silks

Always Optimists Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 10-13

Wings Of Eagles - Queen Of The Hill (Bob Back)

Danny Mullins60%E McNamara70%
8P6386
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Placed in a trio of maiden hurdles and similar form over fences when third of 14 on handicap debut at Fairyhouse in January. Disappointing both starts since and now reverts to hurdling on back of 6-month break and in first-time tongue strap.

Class Advantage

17/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/0326/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/01 · C11 · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par3/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below3/03 · mark par12/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/04projClass-projected finish: 16th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 86%17/03Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 44%31/12Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 22%3/03Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 44%12/04
Projected finish20th of 215% of fieldRange 17-21 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.2%Ahead 2/4
20
18
OR 107
50/1
Aurea Fortuna silks

Debbie Breslin & Mrs Paul Shanahan

7yo Gelding · 10-13

Mount Nelson - Battle Over (Sillery)

Reserve 2A J Martin
31059P
3.0
Tongue strap

Fair performer who won over both hurdles and fences last season, but ended that campaign out of sorts and was pulled up when last seen in May. Has been dropped 3 lb in the interim though and yard have enjoyed some big handicap successes of late. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

3/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par3/0820/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par15/10 · C10 · finish vs mark above15/10 · mark par15/11 · C3 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par29/12 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par4/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/04projClass-projected finish: 10th of 21
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%3/08Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 87%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%15/10Pos 12 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 12 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%29/12Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%4/04
Projected finish21st of 210% of fieldRange 20-21 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.7%Ahead 1/4