20:54 · Churchill Downs

Race 9 - Allowance

1m 110yGoing TBC3YO onlyTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 105
4/1
Royal Causeway silks

Gervais Racing Llc

3yo Colt · 8-6

Not This Time - Bahama Halo (More Than Ready)

Cristian Torres60%2/4Dallas Stewart60%
441127
7.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

21/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par21/039/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par2/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par5/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%21/03Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%2/08Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%5/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.4%Ahead 3/4
5
Market Fav5
OR 99
5/2
Go Grey silks

David Staudacher

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Knicks Go - Valentine Rosie (Curlin)

Walter Rodriguez60%Michael Maker60%
611823
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

29/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par29/0319/04 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par5/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%29/03Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%25/07Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.0%Ahead 4/4
1
4
OR 103
4/1
Banksy's silks

Racingwithbruno And Gmp Stables, Llc

3yo Colt · 8-8

Paynter - Darby Shaw (Afleet Alex)

Tyler Gaffalione60%David Fawkes60%
522311
9.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

28/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par28/031/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par7/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%28/03Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%7/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.2%Ahead 2/4
6
Value2
OR 100
15/1
Go For Rocket silks

Crown's Way Racing And Granger, William

3yo Colt · 8-6

Candy Ride - Flora Dora (First Dude)

Francisco Arrieta2/3Armando Hernandez70%
286118
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par29/0322/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par7/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par21/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%29/03Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 17%7/05Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 46%7/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.4%Ahead 3/4
2
3
OR 104
15/1
Brave Force silks

Oxley, John, Casse, Linda, Long, Eric And Tjr Thoroughbreds

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Gun Runner - Light Blow (Kingmambo)

Martin Garcia60%J Sisterson60%
161340
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

1/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/03 · mark par1/0321/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par27/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par2/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%1/03Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%16/05Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%2/08Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 15%7/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.6%Ahead 3/4
7
6
OR 101
3/1
Aces Honor silks

Pocket Aces Racing Llc

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Code Of Honor - Too Cool To Dance (Kitten's Joy)

Luan MachadoEthan West60%
118022
5.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

20/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par20/1224/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par22/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par3/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par30/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par29/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%20/12Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 30%22/02Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%30/05Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%29/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.2%Ahead 3/4
4
7
OR 99
6/1
Corona De Oro silks

On Our Own Stable, Llc, Commonwealth Stable, U Racing Stables, Llc, Saints Or Sinners, Titletown Racing, Llc, Nichols, Jim, Barker, Edwin S , Rivers, Daniel, Haines, John And Stewart, Dallas

3yo Colt · 8-6

Bolt D'oro - Lemon De Oro (Lemon Drop Kid)

Brian Jr Hernandez2/8Dallas Stewart60%
305125
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

11/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par11/0416/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par7/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par9/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%11/04Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%7/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%9/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%29/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.1%Ahead 2/4
8
8
OR 90
15/1
Exosome silks

Nbs Stable

3yo Colt · 8-6

Candy Ride - Incredible Grace (Medaglia D'oro)

Luis Saez60%Kelsey Danner60%
651836
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

18/01 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/01 · mark par18/018/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par28/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par1/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength80%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%18/01Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%28/02Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%1/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%9/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.2%Ahead 3/4