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13:05 · Worcester

CopyBet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m 4fGoing TBCClass 24YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market Fav2
OR 115
4/1
Merely A Detail silks

Mrs Nicola Bulgin

Merely A Detail

5yo Mare · 11-5

Falco - Mere Detail (Definite Article)

J J Burke60%2/5T Bulgin
4341V1
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓1

Without a win over hurdles but made a successful chasing debut over 2m here in July and followed up at Fontwell (2¼m, good to firm) 4 weeks ago by 9½ lengths from She Is For Me Boys. Won easing down so even an 8 lb rise doesn't look too severe.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/11 · mark par17/1121/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par19/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par4/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%17/11Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%19/04Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.0%Ahead 2/4
9
Top Pick1
OR 110
12/1
She Is For Me Boys silks

Mrs K B Gunn

She Is For Me Boys

7yo Mare · 11-0

Clovis Du Berlais - Bet Davis (Presenting)

G Sheehan60%4/11Jamie Snowden60%
332132
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Back to winning way in a small-field race over C&D (good to soft) in June. Disappointed when a remote third at Stratford next time but back on form when 9½ lengths second of 6 to Merely A Detail at Fontwell (2¼m, good to firm) 28 days ago.

Class Advantage

8/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par8/0314/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par4/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%8/03Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%4/05Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 33%29/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%28/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.5%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 117
10/1
Pep Talking silks

Pep Partnership

Pep Talking

8yo Gelding · 11-7

Pether's Moon - Don And Gerry (Vestris Abu)

James Bowen60%Billy Aprahamian60%
212212
8.0Going 10.0
1st Visor +2

Reliable sort who resumed winning ways in 5-runner handicap chase at Uttoxeter (2½m, good) in July. Ran his usual honest race when second over C&D since. First-time visor replaces regular cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

23/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/03 · mark par23/0311/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par7/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par2/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par15/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%23/03Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 75%7/05Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%15/07Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 89%23/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.8%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 120
8/1
Regal Renaissance silks

The Mammoth Pack Ltd

Regal Renaissance

8yo Mare · 11-10

Clovis Du Berlais - Aisance (Saint Des Saints)

S Bowen70%2/4Jack Jones
211132
7.0Going 8.0

Completed a small-field hat-trick (first leg for Henry Daly) when seeing off 2 rivals at Market Rasen (21f, good) in July. Creditable efforts in defeat last twice (including here) but they underline that she needs a bit more from her mark.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par28/0310/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par4/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par5/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%28/03Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/5 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 11/5 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%22/07Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 67%7/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 3/4
6
8
OR 115
9/2
Palamon silks

The Blind Squirrels

Palamon

6yo Gelding · 11-5

Decorated Knight - Seschat (Sinndar)

Harry Skelton80%1/4D Skelton80%
163553
4.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Successful off this mark at Bangor (2½m) in March. Operating a little below that level in his 3 outings summer but every chance this valuable contest has been the main aim for a top stable well known for targeting these sort of races.

Class Advantage

31/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/03 · mark par31/039/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par25/04 · C2 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%31/03Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 33%25/04Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%19/08Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%29/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.2%Ahead 2/4
8
4
OR 110
5/1
Youdecide silks

The Decision Makers

Youdecide

6yo Gelding · 11-0

Mahler - Pharney Lady (Flemensfirth)

Ben Jones60%2/6B Pauling60%
44P112
8.0Going 8.0

Started the season with handicap chases wins at Stratford (21f) Fontwell (2¾m) and continued his run of good form when second of 5 over C&D (good to soft) 15 days ago. Should go well again.

Class Advantage

7/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par7/1231/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par2/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par10/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%7/12Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%2/02Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%28/08Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%10/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.4%Ahead 2/4
10
7
OR 110
5/1
Loki's Mischief silks

Mr Ron Watts

Loki's Mischief

6yo Gelding · 11-0

No Risk At All - Goddess Freja (Kapgarde)

Lorcan Williams2/3Chester Williams
32P211
8.0Going 8.0

Maiden over hurdles but different story over fences winning a pair of handicaps at up to 3m at Ffos Las in May. Very much the type to keep on improving.

Class Advantage

16/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par16/0119/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par7/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/11 · mark par7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par5/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par20/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 64%16/01Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 92%7/11Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%5/05Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%20/05
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.1%Ahead 3/4
5
6
OR 117
10/1
Country Park silks

Mrs Gay Smith

Country Park

7yo Gelding · 11-7

Walk In The Park - Glacial Drift (Rail Link)

Jonjo O'Neill Jr.60%1/13J & A O'Neill70%
F44134
5.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Clumsy sort over hurdles but has taken well to chasing, winning second time out in 4-runner handicap chase at Bangor (2½m, good) in June. Hasn't been seen to best effect in his 2 outings since and remains of interest for in-from yard in a change of headgear (first-time blinkers).

Class Advantage

14/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par14/102/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par22/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par26/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 33%14/10Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%22/05Pos 1 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 1 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 78%26/07Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 25%8/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.9%Ahead 1/4
11
10
OR 108
14/1
Martin's Denuo silks

David Pipe Racing Club

Martin's Denuo

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Born To Sea - Blue Picture (Peintre Celebre)

Jack Tudor60%D Pipe60%
F11142
4.0Going 8.0
HoodTongue strap

Completed a hat-trick of chase/hurdles claimers in France this summer. Better effort in Fontwell handicap chases for new yard since when second of 3 over 2¾m 19 days ago but more will be needed to go one better in this deeper race.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/0720/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 83%10/07Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%11/11Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%28/08Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%6/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.7%Ahead 0/4
1
9
OR 124
16/1
Karnaval Point silks

David Pipe Racing Club

Karnaval Point

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Great Pretender - Meralda (Baby Turk)

Rian Corcoran60%2/6−5lbD Pipe60%
131635
5.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Dual chase winner in France. Wasted no time repeating that feat for new yard in the first half of the summer but the handicapper has been winning the argument since.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par22/054/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par26/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par31/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par10/09 · C2 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%22/05Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%31/08Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%10/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.9%Ahead 2/4
2
11
OR 120
33/1
Coastguard Station silks

Catchtwentytwo,andyfreight Holdingsltd

Coastguard Station

10yo Gelding · 11-10

Dylan Thomas - Shuruwaat (Fath)

Shane Fenelon60%−5lbHenry Oliver60%
624268
3.0Class ↓1Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

In good form in spring/early summer but has questions to answer after successive below-par efforts.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par21/0316/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par15/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par31/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par28/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%21/03Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%15/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%28/06Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%23/08
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.9%Ahead 2/4
12
12
OR 97
100/1
Disco Davis silks

Mr Andrew Gough

Disco Davis

7yo Gelding · 10-2

Doctor Dino - Clarinet Davis (Turgeon)

James Best0/1S-J Davies70%
P43P65
3.0Class ↓1
1st Cheekpieces +2

Looked like one with problems towards the end of his time with Dan Skelton. Fair third over C&D on stable debut in May but has gone backwards since. It remains to be seen whether first-time cheekpieces make any difference.

Class Advantage

8/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/03 · mark par8/0317/10 · C2 · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par22/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%8/03Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%28/03Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 44%1/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%8/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.9%Ahead 2/4