11:55 · Worcester

CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Chase

2m 110yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 100
5/1
Turpin Gold silks

The Shinton Family

10yo Gelding · 12-0

Dick Turpin - Tamara (Marju)

Stan Sheppard70%3/9T Lacey
420342
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Successful 3 times in handicap hurdles for this yard last year. Late starter over fences but has run up to his hurdles form in 3 starts this season, good second in 10-runner handicap over C&D last month. Could be in the mix with trainer's last 2 jumps runners having won.

Class Advantage

26/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/0916/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par24/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/11 · mark par30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par1/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 57%26/09Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%24/11Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%1/07Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%19/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.3%Ahead 1/4
6
Market Fav5
OR 82
3/1
Onehundredneighty silks

Shy John Partnership

6yo Gelding · 10-10

Ocovango - Ashlings Princess (Salford Express)

Ben Jones60%0/2B Pauling60%
023542
6.0Class ↓2

Making only second start for this yard, ran best race after 3 months off when runner-up to a well-treated type in novice handicap hurdle at Fontwell (19f) in August. In good hands so he commands respect on chasing debut.

Class Advantage

17/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/1226/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par1/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%17/12Pos 2 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 80%13/02Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 57%20/05Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 83%28/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.3%Ahead 1/4
10
3
OR 76
10/1
Prairie Queen silks

Clear Racing & Partner

6yo Mare · 10-4

Eastern Anthem - Lupa Montana (Giant's Causeway)

Sean Houlihan60%1/12Mrs S Gardner
233135
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Has taken well to chasing this year, confirming the promise of her first 2 outings when making all in handicap at Hereford in May. Unable to lead when fifth of 10 at Uttoxeter last time, so no surprise to see her bounce back.

Class Advantage

24/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/03 · mark par24/037/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par17/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par5/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par17/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%24/03Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%17/04Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%17/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%7/07
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 1/4
8
4
OR 80
10/1
Boom Boom silks

Mr Paul Waldron

8yo Gelding · 10-8

Califet - She Is A Cracker (Cadoudal)

James Best0/1B R Summers
7PPP32
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Lost his form after back-to-back wins at Stratford last summer, but having eased back down in the weights there's been encouragement the last twice. Confirmed his previous effort when second of 7 over this C&D 3 weeks ago, so he could be in the mix.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/0613/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par6/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/10 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 30%20/08Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%12/07Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%4/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.0%Ahead 2/4
9
9
OR 79
10/1
Applejack Poet silks

Mr A Evans

9yo Gelding · 10-7

Urban Poet - Oasis Star (Desert King)

Callum Pritchard0/2B J Murphy60%
364P8F
4.0
Cheek pieces

It's now over 3 years since his sole success, which came over hurdles in Ireland. Was in the process of showing better signs when falling 2 out in handicap chase at Sedgefield early this month, before third on the Flat 13 days ago. Yard has been quiet of late, though.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par2/1023/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par5/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 45%2/10Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%5/07Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%28/08Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%12/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.4%Ahead 2/4
2
Value2
OR 99
12/1
Galeforcechopper silks

Close The Deal Syndicate

5yo Mare · 11-13

Jet Away - Gale Force Lucey (Oscar)

Liam Harrison60%1/2D Brace60%
396913
6.0Going 8.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Little impact in bumpers and first 2 starts over hurdles, but under a change of tactics she made all for a 150/1 success in maiden hurdle at this course early in the month. However, was last of 3 in mares handicap at Plumpton 5 days ago. Makes first start over fences.

Class Advantage

14/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0717/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%14/07Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 29%17/06Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%20/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.1%Ahead 2/4
3
10
OR 95
14/1
Good For You silks

Bien Pour Vous

5yo Gelding · 11-9

Manatee - Souri Des Champs (Robin Des Champs)

C Gethings60%0/5Mrs J Williams
5596P6
3.0

Runner-up in maiden hurdle at Wincanton on second start but failed to kick on last season, below form returned to maiden company when sixth of 13 at Hereford in April. Off 5 months since ahead of chasing debut.

Class Advantage

15/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0210/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par5/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/11 · mark par5/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/12 · mark par26/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par16/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par16/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%15/02Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 69%5/11Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 55%26/12Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 58%16/04
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.5%Ahead 3/4
5
6
OR 89
5/1
Kally Des Bruyeres silks

The Close Shave Partnership

6yo Gelding · 11-3

Cokoriko - Ally Des Bruyeres (Until Sundown)

J J Burke60%0/1David Dennis
45141F
7.0
Tongue strap

Dual winner over hurdles who justified strong support on second chase start when landing handicap at Market Rasen in April, form franked by the runner-up since. Shaped as if still in good form before falling 3 out at Hereford the following month. Major player.

Class Advantage

22/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/11 · mark par22/1131/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/12 · mark par16/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par1/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/03 · mark par9/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par5/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par5/04projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%22/11Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%16/01Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%9/03Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%5/04
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.4%Ahead 2/4
4
7
OR 92
8/1
Forcetoreckonwith silks

Mineral Forces

7yo Mare · 11-6

Workforce - Shining Beauty (Turtle Island)

Jack Tudor60%O Greenall & J Guerriero
43214F
6.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Opened her account under Rules in handicap chase at Newcastle in March and shaped as if still in good heart at Warwick next time. After 4 months off, was struggling to hold her place in second when falling at Cartmel 25 days ago, but she could step forward from that outing.

Class Advantage

24/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/11 · mark par24/1122/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/12 · mark par30/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/01 · mark par24/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par14/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/03 · mark par23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par23/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%24/11Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%30/01Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%14/03Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%23/04
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 2/4
7
8
OR 81
10/1
Blackijo Dagrostis silks

Lost In The Summer Wine 2

7yo Gelding · 10-9

Brave Mansonnien - Chanelle Dagrostis (Pirateer)

Brendan Powell60%M Sheppard70%
P54343
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Remains a maiden but was let down by a mistake at the last when third at Taunton in March. Failed to build on that effort in 2 subsequent outings, though, again making jumping errors when third of 7 at Warwick in April. Off 5 months since.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/10 · mark par6/1031/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par18/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/02 · mark par9/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/03 · mark par25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par23/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%6/10Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%18/02Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%25/03Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%23/04
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.5%Ahead 1/4