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15:25 · Worcester

FBC Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

2mGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
2
OR 99
4/1
Mojo Ego silks

Mr Bill Hawkins

Mojo Ego

6yo Gelding · 11-11

Intello - Never Green (Halling)

Tom Broughton60%1/1F O'Brien
761631
8.0Class ↓4

Dug deep to fend off a next-time-out winner when successful over C&D in early-June. Suited by the emphasis on speed when making it 2 wins from 4 starts for present yard at Stratford last time. Still feasibly treated on the best of his old form, too.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par15/0527/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par18/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%15/05Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%23/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%5/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.7%Ahead 3/4
3
3
OR 102
3/1
Network Rgb silks

Pertemps Group Limited

Network Rgb

4yo Gelding · 11-12

Telescope - Black Sam Bella (Black Sam Bellamy)

Lewis Saunders60%−3lbO Murphy70%
74481
7.0

Stoutly-bred individual who was brought along steadily in juvenile hurdles last winter. Coped surprisingly well with sharp 2m when making his second handicap start a winning one over C&D last time. Beat 3 subsequent winners (including Mojo Ego) that day and likely player again off 6 lb higher.

Class Advantage

12/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/114/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%12/11Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%4/12Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%21/12Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 22%7/07Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%23/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.3%Ahead 3/4
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 100
9/4
Lucky Sevens silks

Four Winds Racing Partnership

Lucky Sevens

3yo Gelding · 10-8

A'ali - Fairy Slipper (Singspiel)

Rian Corcoran60%James Owen60%
21
5.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces

Half-brother to useful hurdler. Runner-up on hurdling debut prior to looking fortunate to go one better in another small-field event at Stratford in July. Underlined he isn't one for maximum faith on Flat since but still potentially interesting pitched into open handicap company by excellent yard.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par30/0521/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 56%30/05Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%29/06Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 50%22/07Pos 12 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 12 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 8%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -28.1%Ahead 1/4
1
4
OR 102
8/1
Douglas Dc silks

Mrs Susan Keable

Douglas Dc

8yo Gelding · 12-0

Zoffany - Hollie Point (Dubawi)

Nick Slatter60%A W Carroll60%
934270
5.0
Cheek pieces

Sole success across both codes came in juvenile hurdle in Ireland in 2022. Has finished runner-up in the previous couple of renewals of this race (now 3 lb lower than last year) and has been in reasonable heart on the Flat lately. No surprise to see him double his tally in a change of headgear.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0621/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%5/06Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%13/07Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%18/08Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%2/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.2%Ahead 2/4
4
5
OR 99
4/1
Al Mootamarid silks

Hatch A Plan Syndicate

Al Mootamarid

5yo Gelding · 11-11

Kingman - Fleche D'or (Dubai Destination)

Toby McCain-Mitchell60%Ryan Hatch
135337
5.0
Tongue strap

Fair 1¼m Flat winner who opened his account in this sphere at Stratford last June. Recorded back-to-back thirds behind subsequent winners over C&D before struggling in a much better race at Cartmel following 2 months away. Worth another chance returning to a more conventional track in calmer waters.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par13/0725/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par8/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par17/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par29/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 67%13/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%8/05Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%1/07Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%29/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.7%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 91
33/1
Peter's Last Deal silks

Lady Gibbings

Peter's Last Deal

5yo Gelding · 11-3

Walzertakt - Taradissima Has (Robin Des Pres)

Callum PritchardT Symonds
353676
3.0

Showed ability in a Hereford bumper/maiden hurdle in 2025. Seemingly hasn't been the easiest to keep sound and made no impact stepped up markedly in distance for his handicap bow here (23f) in early-June. Probably still too high the weights back over 2m here.

Class Advantage

12/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/0217/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%12/02Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%3/11Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 14%9/05Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%6/06
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.5%Ahead 1/4
10
9
OR 71
50/1
Granny B silks

Mr Michael Mullineaux

Granny B

6yo Mare · 10-2

Acclamation - Debuetantin (Big Shuffle)

William Maggs60%M Mullineaux
63P577
3.0
Hood

Maiden whose best handicap form came when placing in back-to-back races at Uttoxeter last May. Hasn't shaped as though ready to capitalise on plummeting mark this season, though, having again been let down by her jumping last time.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/0918/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par6/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%6/09Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%6/04Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 45%15/07Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%26/07
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.5%Ahead 4/4
8
6
OR 82
25/1
Castle Quarter silks

Mr & Mrs R Newiss,& Mr Gavin Teversham

Castle Quarter

10yo Gelding · 10-8

Zoffany - Queen's Pudding (Royal Applause)

Bradley Harris60%0/4−3lbN P Mulholland60%
P67530
4.0
Visor

Hit-and-miss veteran who got off the mark in a thin Uttoxeter handicap (2m) in May last year. Back to form with visor fitted when 2½ lengths third on return to that C&D in July. Unsurprisingly didn't back that up over C&D last time, though.

Class Advantage

24/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/03 · mark par24/0316/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 58%24/03Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%14/06Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%24/07Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%23/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.8%Ahead 3/4
2
8
OR 102
25/1
T Or Coffey silks

A C O'Keeffe

T Or Coffey

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Gustav Klimt - Roclette (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Lewis Stones0/2J Candlish
493168
3.0

Off the mark on debut for current yard in a 2m Stratford maiden hurdle last July. Went backwards from his reappearance on return to Stratford last time, though, at a stretch possibly still needing the run.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/0718/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par3/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par26/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par22/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 56%3/11Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 55%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%22/07Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%25/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.7%Ahead 1/4
9
10
OR 78
50/1
Connemara Joe silks

Jordan, Anstey And Morgan

Connemara Joe

5yo Gelding · 10-4

Zambezi Sun - Broomfield Gale (Malinas)

Cameron Iles60%M Sheppard80%
P46588
3.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Cheap purchase who was unplaced in Irish points. Did hint at ability on qualifying run here but hasn't improved in a couple of handicap starts in varying headgear.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0630/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 50%3/06Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 29%30/06Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 33%16/07Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 42%23/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%5/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.0%Ahead 4/4