23:57 · Churchill Downs

Race 7 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
2
OR 97
7/2
Evan On Earth silks

Tamaroak Partners Llc

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Congrats - Josaka (Smart Strike)

Luis Saez60%0/2Gregory Foley
613361
7.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

1/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/0821/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par16/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par27/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par27/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 55%1/08Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%16/10Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 29%27/12Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%19/06
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.6%Ahead 3/4
7
3
OR 94
3/1
Attersee silks

Quarter Pole Club Vi, Llc

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Klimt - Lakefront (Deputy Minister)

Tyler Gaffalione60%0/3Norm Casse60%
222216
8.0

Class Advantage

14/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par14/028/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par16/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par28/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par18/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par25/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 30%14/02Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%16/04Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%18/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%25/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.9%Ahead 3/4
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 100
2/1
Vital Mind silks

Chc, Inc And Winstar Farm, Llc

4yo Colt · 8-9

Into Mischief - She's A Julie (Elusive Quality)

Jose Ortiz60%2/3Steven Asmussen60%
212146
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

29/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0328/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par3/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par6/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/02 · mark par5/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par22/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%29/03Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%3/01Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%5/03Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 17%22/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.9%Ahead 2/4
8
5
OR 92
10/1
Ravens Dream silks

James Sherwood

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Liam's Map - Sally Ride (Tapit)

Keith Asmussen1/4Steven Asmussen60%
413516
5.0

Class Advantage

5/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par5/071/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par17/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par11/10 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par24/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par30/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par30/11projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%5/07Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%17/09Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%24/10Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%30/11
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.0%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 96
6/1
Charlie Foxtrot silks

Paradise Farms Corp And Lambert, Jeffrey

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Army Mule - Madagascat (Tale Of The Cat)

J R LeparouxRobert Hess60%
613651
6.0

Class Advantage

4/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par4/052/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par23/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par19/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par14/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par20/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 29%4/05Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%23/08Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%14/06Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%20/07
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.5%Ahead 1/4
1
6
OR 90
8/1
Hicko silks

Southern Springs Stables (ron Moquett) And Brothers Edmondson

4yo Colt · 8-9

Lord Nelson - Scattered Clouds (Scat Daddy)

Rafael Bejarano60%0/1R Moquett60%
143333
7.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

26/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/0828/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par22/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par14/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/03 · mark par11/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par2/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par2/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%26/08Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 82%22/02Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%11/04Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 82%2/05
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.6%Ahead 2/4
4
7
OR 93
20/1
Hogie The Player silks

Novogratz Racing Stables, Inc

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Omaha Beach - In Jail (Into Mischief)

William Iii Antongeorgi60%0/1Troy Wismer60%
217167
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

12/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/11 · mark par12/1121/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/12 · mark par19/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par21/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par3/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par17/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 90%12/11Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%19/02Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%3/04Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%17/07
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.0%Ahead 4/4
3
8
OR 82
15/1
Googol Joke silks

Snake River Stable Llc, Lancaster House Thoroughbreds, Llc And Medina, Robert

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Practical Joke - Maltese Googol (Speightstown)

Martin Garcia60%Robert Medina
451746
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

27/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par27/0923/10 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/10 · mark par16/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above16/02 · mark par17/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par25/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par7/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%27/09Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%16/02Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%25/07Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 17%7/08
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.3%Ahead 1/4