18:15 · Newcastle

MWH Treatment Handicap

1m 5yGoing TBCClass 64YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 59
11/2
Bajan Bandit silks

Mr Ambrose Turnbull

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Oasis Dream - Dirayah (Dark Angel)

D Nolan0/2P Morris60%
523201
7.0Class ↓4
Visor

Beat Barleybrown when winning apprentice handicap over C&D 6 days ago, bouncing back from rare poor effort having been consistent in better races prior to that. Escapes a penalty turned out quickly and looks sure to go well again.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/077/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength83%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 43%4/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 80%7/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 15%31/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%19/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.7%Ahead 3/4
7
3
OR 54
5/1
Barleybrown silks

Mr Sean Barley

6yo Gelding · 9-3

Zoustar - Shozita (Showcasing)

Joanna Mason0/8Mrs R Carr60%
628522
7.0
Cheek pieces

Four-time C&D winner running well of late, including when second of 10 to Bajan Bandit in a handicap here 6 days ago. He's well enough treated if getting the race run to suit (needs a strong pace).

Class Advantage

17/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/052/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par16/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 58%17/05Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 92%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 42%25/06Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 88%2/09Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 89%19/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.4%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 59
12/1
Toralou silks

Mike Harris Racing Club

5yo Mare · 9-8

U S Navy Flag - By Jupiter (Sea The Stars)

Jack Callan60%D M Loughnane
772674
5.0Going 8.0

Only one win to name and largely below best this year but ran better when fourth of 10 over 7f at Haydock 21 days ago. Handicapper has dropped her a further 6 lb here which gives her a chance back up in trip.

Class Advantage

2/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/02 · mark par2/0215/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%2/02Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 90%4/06Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%11/08Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%4/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.3%Ahead 3/4
5
Value2
OR 54
8/1
Sassy Glory silks

Ursa Major & Mark Walford Racing Club

5yo Mare · 9-3

Oasis Dream - Sassy Gal (King's Best)

C J Whiteley60%−5lbM Walford60%
921051
7.0Class ↓4
Visor

Front runner who boasts a good record over C&D with 3 wins from 6 starts, most recent coming 23 days ago when producing a career best. 5 lb higher in the weights now but hard to rule out around here.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0516/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%11/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 12 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 12 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 8%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 64%8/08Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%2/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.6%Ahead 2/4
9
4
OR 48
10/1
Volenti silks

Blue And Gold Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 8-11

Estidhkaar - Izba (Mastercraftsman)

Rowan Scott60%0/1S England60%
434335
6.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Four-time C&D winner for Ben Haslam but hasn't won in 23 starts. Fifth of 10 here on second start for current yard 6 days ago when racing freely and doing too much too soon. Well treated if able to find some form.

Class Advantage

2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par2/0620/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%2/06Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 63%6/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%31/08Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%19/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.6%Ahead 1/4
8
5
OR 52
14/1
Trais Fluors silks

Miss L A Perratt

12yo Gelding · 9-1

Dansili - Trois Lunes (Manduro)

P Mulrennan60%0/1Miss L A Perratt
850761
6.0

Won classified stakes over 7f here in July. More required returned to handicap company and back up to 1m.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par20/045/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 46%20/04Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 17%2/06Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%5/07Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%25/07
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 3/4
2
Market Fav8
OR 60
11/4
Reginald Charles silks

Bond Thoroughbred Limited

6yo Gelding · 9-9

Zoustar - Melbourne Memories (Sleeping Indian)

P J McDonald1/8G R Oldroyd60%
635263
6.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Consistent without winning this year, finishing third of 10 in a 7f handicap at this track in August. Course winner who can enter calculations back up in trip.

Class Advantage

5/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par5/027/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par24/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 55%5/02Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 73%24/04Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%3/07Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 78%31/07
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.3%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 54
9/2
Adelaide Bay silks

Mrs Janet Lowther

4yo Gelding · 9-3

New Bay - Vitamin (Camelot)

Shane Gray60%D Bourke
252643
5.0Class ↓4

Expensive to follow and was a beaten favourite on 4 out of 6 starts for Jane Chapple-Hyam, including when fourth over C&D in July and third of 10 at Southwell 29 days ago. Now starts out for another new yard.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/054/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par2/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 88%21/05Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 88%2/07Pos 6 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 6 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 73%25/07Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 78%27/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.6%Ahead 1/4
1
9
OR 60
14/1
Travis silks

Tykemeout Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Advertise - Bazzana (Zebedee)

Sean Kirrane60%G A Harker60%
133300
4.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

In good form over 7f earlier this summer, winning at Redcar in June before placing 3 times in July, but last 2 runs have been poor. Drops back into 0-60 now with cheekpieces back on so could bounce back.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/063/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%18/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%14/08Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%9/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.4%Ahead 1/4
11
10
OR 45
25/1
One More Bottle silks

Mrs E Quinlan

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Mukhadram - Lady Tabitha (Tamayuz)

Aiden Brookes0/1Lizzie Quinlan60%
870689
2.0
Blinkers

Yet to score in 12 runs since winning last July, though is marginally more interesting than recent form figures would suggest, not getting clear run here last time.

Class Advantage

22/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/11 · mark par22/1116/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/12 · mark par10/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/01 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 36%22/11Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 45%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%10/01Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%8/08Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%2/09
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.3%Ahead 1/4
10
11
OR 45
100/1
Aurora's Doublesix silks

Mr Brian Rothwell

4yo Filly · 8-9

Dandy Man - Late Rosebud (Jeremy)

Laura CoughlanB Rothwell
950588
2.0
Hood

Long-standing maiden who isn't one to be interested in.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/063/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%15/06Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%13/08Pos 5 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%3/09Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 13%8/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.8%Ahead 2/4