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16:45 · Newcastle

MMB Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusALLWEATHER5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
3
6/1
Elite Approach silks

Hill Top Equestrian Centre Ltd

Elite Approach

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Havana Gold - Be My Angel (Dark Angel)

George Wood60%Joey Ramsden
44
4.0Going 8.0

Much improved from debut after 4-month absence when fourth of 9 in novice at Southwell (1m, 25/1) 40 days ago. Returns to shorter trip now and may have more to offer.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/0416/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 63%29/04Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 63%16/08
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +62.5%Ahead 2/2
1
Top Pick1
OR 64
4/1
Brash silks

Mr Chris McHale

Brash

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Bungle Inthejungle - By The Edge (Shinko Forest)

D Nolan0/2T D Barron
732422
7.0

Fair gelding who made the frame again when respectable second of 10 in novice over C&D (6/1) 23 days ago. Likely contender.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/0619/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par2/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%5/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%6/07Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%1/08Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.9%Ahead 2/4
3
Market Fav2
OR 77
13/8
One Of The Boys silks

Neil Smith & Alfie Smith

One Of The Boys

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Sioux Nation - Where's Sue (Dark Angel)

Jack Callan60%M L W Bell60%
2334
5.0

Progressed gradually in 3 starts on all-weather, including when third to a subsequent winner at Wolverhampton (7f) in July. Proved disappointing tried in headgear (now discarded) at Doncaster since but looks an obvious player here.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/112/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/0717/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/0715/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%20/11Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%2/07Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%17/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%15/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.1%Ahead 1/4
4
4
5/1
Whatever Bruce silks

Mr A M Caygill

Whatever Bruce

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Bated Breath - Anushka Noo Noo (Makfi)

Joanna MasonG Tutty
66
3.0

Offered more than on debut when sixth of 9 in novice at this course (7f) 20 days ago, not clear run. More needed to break duck, however.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/065/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%15/06Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 38%5/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +43.8%Ahead 2/2
5
5
7/2
Janora silks

Mr Phil Slater

Janora

3yo Filly · 9-2

Cotai Glory - Salariaq (Daaher)

Shay Farmer60%−5lbS Spencer
64
4.0Going 8.0

Sent off huge odds but showed more than on debut when fourth of 9 in novice at this course (7f) 20 days ago. Likely one for handicaps down the line.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/085/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%20/08Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 63%5/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.1%Ahead 2/2