22:30 · Churchill Downs

Race 4 - Claiming

6f2YO onlyDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 82
6/1
Jacks Shot silks

Dream Big Racing, Llc

2yo Colt · 8-8

No Parole - Strange Design (Ghostzapper)

Luke Hoskins60%−7lbJohn Ortiz
1
10.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish1st of 7100% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength68%
2
Market Fav3
OR 63
9/5
Booray silks

Black Type Thoroughbreds, Swinbank Stables Llc, Adkisson, Steve And Weaver, George

2yo Colt · 8-10

Global Campaign - I Know That Mom (Distorted Humor)

Luis Saez60%George Weaver60%
1
10.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

30/08 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a30/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.4%Ahead 1/1
6
5
OR 66
7/2
Mr. Fete silks

Hayden Noriega

2yo Colt · 8-8

Volatile - Fi (Langfuhr)

D E Sheehy0/2J Ennis
5331
5.0

Class Advantage

9/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0424/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par24/0619/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%9/04Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%24/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%19/07
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.8%Ahead 1/3
4
4
OR 62
12/1
Mormoneytostart silks

Terry Burdess

2yo Gelding · 8-8

Upstart - Mrs. S (Creative Cause)

Francisco ArrietaTerry Burdess60%
218
7.0

Class Advantage

4/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0725/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%4/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%25/07
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.1%Ahead 2/2
1
Value2
OR 63
12/1
Red Sun silks

Peterson, Valerie L And Holsapple, Krystle

2yo Gelding · 8-8

Flameaway - Shiningdownondalis (Palace)

William Iii Antongeorgi60%1/2Hutch Holsapple60%
6185
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

26/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0524/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par24/061/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/0811/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%26/05Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 30%1/08Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%11/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.9%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 65
5/2
Mr Gerson silks

David Jacobson

2yo Colt · 8-8

Golden Pal - Peru (Motivator)

Tyler Gaffalione60%David Jacobson
3001
3.0

Class Advantage

16/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0421/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par21/054/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par4/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%16/04Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%21/05Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%4/06
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.3%Ahead 2/3
5
7
OR 47
10/1
Mr. Grumpy Pants silks

Carpio Milano Racing Stable, Inc

2yo Colt · 8-8

Basin - Orbital Deity (Orb)

Edgar Morales60%Rilardo Carpio
701
2.0

Class Advantage

26/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/075/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%26/07Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 10%5/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.5%Ahead 2/2