IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. haydock
  3. race-6

15:50 · Haydock

By Eck Its Boddingtons Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 6fGoing TBCClass 33YO onlyTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 88
7/4
Asia Force silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

Asia Force

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Frankel - Scentasia (Cape Cross)

S H James70%0/2K R Burke60%
223411
8.0Going 8.0

Improved on the back of a gelding operation when dominant winner of 6-runner handicap at Carlisle (1¾m) last month and took form up a notch from 6 lb higher when following up in 8-runner handicap over C&D (soft) just under 3 weeks ago, digging deep. Respected in hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage

5/02 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a5/0229/04 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%5/02Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%12/06Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%11/08Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%5/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.3%Ahead 3/4
4
2
OR 87
3/1
Glory Of The Seas silks

Godolphin

Glory Of The Seas

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Sea The Stars - Kitcarina (Shamardal)

J Mitchell60%0/1R Varian60%
2431
8.0Going 7.0

Stood out on his already fairly useful form in defeat and duly landed the odds in 5-runner maiden at Hamilton (11f, good) back in June, highlighting his stamina but also the seemingly positive impact of a gelding operation. Upped in trip for his handicap bow and remains with potential.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/1118/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/048/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0510/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%6/11Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%18/04Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%8/05Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Actual: 100%10/06
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.1%Ahead 1/4
1
3
OR 89
10/3
My Ballyquinn silks

The Mustard

My Ballyquinn

3yo Gelding · 9-9

New Bay - Early Summer (Sea The Stars)

D Tudhope60%0/3D O'Meara60%
121203
5.0Going 8.0

Made it 2 wins from his first 3 handicap starts when scoring at York (1¾m) in June. Struggled in the deep waters of the Melrose there last month but got right back on track when third of 9 at Doncaster (1½m, good) just over 2 weeks ago. Not discounted back up to 1¾m.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/0520/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par23/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par10/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%15/05Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 50%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 31%22/08Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.7%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 88
5/1
Glory Road silks

Valmont

Glory Road

3yo Colt · 9-8

Too Darn Hot - Guajara (Montjeu)

H Crouch60%0/3R M Beckett60%
23210
5.0Going 9.0

Bumped into some useful rivals when third all 3 starts in novice/maiden company and showed improved form to make a winning handicap debut at Newcastle (12.5f) in July. Never got competitive in Melrose at York last month but better anticipated dropping into calmer waters.

Class Advantage

8/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/1015/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a9/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%8/10Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%15/05Pos 2 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 2 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 91%9/06Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%22/08
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.2%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 78
10/1
Itica silks

Kingsclere Racing Club

Itica

3yo Gelding · 8-12

Ulysses - Lady Brora (Dashing Blade)

Callum Hutchinson60%A M Balding60%
025617
4.0

Showed much improved form upped to 11f when opening account in 6-runner seller at Goodwood on turf debut last month. Possibly found the race coming too soon when seventh of 9 on handicap debut at Doncaster (1½m, good) just over a fortnight ago so worth another chance.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/1126/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par10/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 15%6/11Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 89%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%20/01Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%30/08Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%10/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 1/4