1

Rags To Roses

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 38

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f Fas 12315/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Saratoga?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20264th16/116%25%+0.09