3
Boutwell Time
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Beldame Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -6.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-12-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2025-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 12th | 19th | −6 |
| 2025-03-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 13th | −5 |
| 2024-11-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 11th | −8 |
| 2024-10-25 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 14th | −8 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 13/09/2024 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 29/09/2024 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 25/10/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 13/11/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/03/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 12/04/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |