3
Amicable Farce
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 89
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +16.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |