4
Dream Chick
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 67
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 14/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 11/12/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |