8
Just Tell Anne
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |