4
Klimt Master
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 52
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-03-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-02-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-11-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2025-11-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/10/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 13/11/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/09/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |