7
Sir Walta
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 24/10/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |