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Story Of Rory

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 80

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

75%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 31/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 11931/08C6C6 @ Laurel Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 71 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 71 par18/04C6OR 71C6 @ Monmouth Park 31/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 65 par31/05C6OR 65C6 @ Laurel Park 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 11928/06C6C6 @ Saratoga 19/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 72 par19/08C6OR 72projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-06-28Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-05-31Monmouth Park?2nd2nd0
2026-04-18Laurel Park?8th8th0
2025-08-31Saratoga?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0818/0431/0528/0619/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20258th14/126%22%-0.04
18/04/20268th25/10%0%0.00
31/05/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
28/06/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
19/08/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03