Cosmic Candy Girl
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 89
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |