Hello Beauty
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 76
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |