3
Saratoga Snow
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 79
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 06/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |