10

Starship Pegasus

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 92

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

60%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 26/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11826/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 24/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 90 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 90 par24/08C6OR 90C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 91 par24/10C6OR 91C1 @ Aqueduct 23/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 96 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 96 par23/11C1OR 96C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 89 par28/06C5OR 89C6 @ Saratoga 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 91 par24/07C6OR 91projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-06-28Belmont At The Big A?1st0th+1
2025-11-23Aqueduct?6th0th+5
2025-10-24Belmont At The Big A?1st2nd−1
2025-08-24Saratoga?6th7th−1
2025-07-26Saratoga?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0724/0824/1023/1128/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20255th7/163%50%-0.13
24/08/20256th13/266%50%-0.16
24/10/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
23/11/20256th25/10%17%+0.17
28/06/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
24/07/20264th5/287%57%-0.30