2

Cut Down The Nets

2yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 68

Belmont Park · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1237/06C6C6 @ Saratoga 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 51 · 5f110y 123 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 51 par12/07C6OR 51C6 @ Saratoga 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 70 · 6f Gd 123 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 70 par15/08C6OR 70projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-07-12Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-06-07Saratoga?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0612/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength44%

Delivery trend -12.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
12/07/20262nd4/179%89%+0.10
15/08/20262nd11/486%86%+0.00